Opinion Questions For Rowsus

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Rowsus

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Thanks mate. I took a bit of a chance in the forward line with a few mid pricers i thought would finish top 10 forwards or close to it. Have Danger as my super prem then went Zorko, Mitchell and Parker as the ones i thought would finish up the top and then also Dahlhaus as a speculative. He was going nicely until last week.

I dont think Merrett can keep these scores up. Id say Caddy has more of a chance of being a keeper. My options i was tossing up were either upgrade now to a Dusty / Wingard etc or downgrade to a Taylor and get some cash. Maybe give him to his bye round to see if he can lift his game.

Also now that it looks like Michie is out for a month, would you suggest trading him? If so, would you say to someone like Macrae? Or more of a cheaper money maker?
I prefer to keep fixer trades simple. Either upgrade to a genuine Prem, if you can afford it, or downgrade to the best money maker you can find. I'm not sure Macrae fits either desription. Michie has to go, and he was mainly in the team to produce dollars. I think you need to replace him with someone that will do that for you.
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus,

Brad Hill a worthy straight swap for Walters?

Just can't quite afford Cyril without burning 2 trades.
He's exciting to watch, but I don't think he's a Keeper. Burning trades to non-Keepers or non-Cash Cows is usually regrettable. Hawthorns 5 highest scoring Mids last season averaged something like: 103, 99, 98, 88, 85! It's hard to see him consistently reaching the figures you need. I'd look elsewhere. I wouldn't burn 2 trades to get Cyril though.
Good luck. :)
 
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Caddy's last 2 games have been concerning, and while I am going to stick with him a bit longer, I can certainly understand why some will change him up to a Parker type player. As to Jaensch, read below.
Good luck :)



There is no doubt that Jaensch could be a case of improvement and opportunity meeting. I still like to see something in their history that shows the potential was there to improve. Not just a fluke good score here or there, but a 5 or 6 game streak of scoring at a better level. Jaensch's best streak was in 2011 where he had 6 games at around 89-90. If you bring him in, you need him to be a Keeper. Once the season starts there are only 2 types of players to trade in, Keepers and Rookies. Some might be happy to sit a cheaper player at D6, and accept 88-90 from him. What concerns me is, Jaensch's highest game count in an season has been 13, to achieve 90 he needs to go 30 and 35/game above his last 2 seasons, and if he does achieve 90, and play every game, he will only score at 87 from here. While he looks good so far, and may put together a couple or 3 more scores before the correction comes, I do believe the correction will come. He's done well for those that started with him, but I think there is a decent risk in trading him in now. Rather than jump on missed scores, I prefer to think nearly all the jam has been sucked from his donut. He's not for me, but I am prepared to say he could prove me wrong.
So basically I'm looking to move on Guthrie as a failed cash cow. My options are KK who is averaging 60.5 and has a break even of -11 but would put about $120k in the bank for upgrades or Jaensch who is looking like a successful cash cow / potential keeper with 3 scores over 100 and a break even of -24 but will cost me $40k (leaving $100k in the bank)

Am I better to the rookie + cash knowing he will need to be upgraded or the cash cow with a better average who may not require a further trade?
 

Bobbie

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Caddy's last 2 games have been concerning, and while I am going to stick with him a bit longer, I can certainly understand why some will change him up to a Parker type player. As to Jaensch, read below.
Good luck :)



There is no doubt that Jaensch could be a case of improvement and opportunity meeting. I still like to see something in their history that shows the potential was there to improve. Not just a fluke good score here or there, but a 5 or 6 game streak of scoring at a better level. Jaensch's best streak was in 2011 where he had 6 games at around 89-90. If you bring him in, you need him to be a Keeper. Once the season starts there are only 2 types of players to trade in, Keepers and Rookies. Some might be happy to sit a cheaper player at D6, and accept 88-90 from him. What concerns me is, Jaensch's highest game count in an season has been 13, to achieve 90 he needs to go 30 and 35/game above his last 2 seasons, and if he does achieve 90, and play every game, he will only score at 87 from here. While he looks good so far, and may put together a couple or 3 more scores before the correction comes, I do believe the correction will come. He's done well for those that started with him, but I think there is a decent risk in trading him in now. Rather than jump on missed scores, I prefer to think nearly all the jam has been sucked from his donut. He's not for me, but I am prepared to say he could prove me wrong.
Thanks for that. Caddy is certainly frustrating! Perhaps I should stick with both him and Smith for another week and reassess.
 
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Hey Rowsus, I had nearly forgotten that B Martin was on my bench. Would you go Martin to KK? This will be my 6th trade and KK will likely be fighting it out for D6 with Langdon. I'm not sure I can justify using a trade even though Martin isnt playing
 
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Hey Rowsus, what would Josh Kelly need to average in order to generate more cash than Lewis Taylor averaging say 50? Or possibly Dylan Buckley averaging around the same.

Another possibility is to wait another week for Sheringham and Gordon, or to do a swap to KK by subbing Langdon into the mids (although I already have quite a few rd 8 bye players)

What would be your suggested method of action for Michie?

Love your work Rowsus!
 
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I prefer to keep fixer trades simple. Either upgrade to a genuine Prem, if you can afford it, or downgrade to the best money maker you can find. I'm not sure Macrae fits either desription. Michie has to go, and he was mainly in the team to produce dollars. I think you need to replace him with someone that will do that for you.
Hi Rowsus.

Just wondering what your thoughts are on a replacement for Michie if he isn't picked this week (edit:just saw the news on his broken jaw, he won't be picked). I already have Tyson,Polec,Dunstan,Ellis and Aish in the mids so I'm making plenty of money and I've only used 2 trades so far. I was thinking Buckley but he was disappointing on the weekend. I'm not convinced on Crouch's job security. I have the money to get Kelly in but is he too pricey? Replacing Michie with a keeper is a lot of money to have to make. Given past overall winners have traded aggressively to complete their teams early am I being too patient by sitting on Michie for another round or 2 or 3?
 
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Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus, I had nearly forgotten that B Martin was on my bench. Would you go Martin to KK? This will be my 6th trade and KK will likely be fighting it out for D6 with Langdon. I'm not sure I can justify using a trade even though Martin isnt playing
Even though Martin hasn't been playing, I'm not sure KK will bring a full trades value to the table. I'd probably look elsewhere or wait.
 

Rowsus

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So basically I'm looking to move on Guthrie as a failed cash cow. My options are KK who is averaging 60.5 and has a break even of -11 but would put about $120k in the bank for upgrades or Jaensch who is looking like a successful cash cow / potential keeper with 3 scores over 100 and a break even of -24 but will cost me $40k (leaving $100k in the bank)

Am I better to the rookie + cash knowing he will need to be upgraded or the cash cow with a better average who may not require a further trade?
It really comes down to your expectations. If you expect Jaensch to go on with it, bring him in. But if his wheels fall off, and he falls back to 80's he won't make you much more than $50k, if that, and you've burnt a trade to make $50k. I'm not sure KK will be making great dollars, but at least he should make more than $50k, while at the same time freeing some cash. I really think Jaensch shouldn't be traded in, unless you think he is at least a 50% chance, or better, of filling D6 for the rest of the season. I think he is less than that, but the game is based on opinions, and if your expectation is higher, then he is your man. :)
 

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Hi Rowsus do you think this is Luke Parker's breakout year and that he could go on to be a top 6 forward at the end of the year? Or do you think that Buddy or someone else in that price range would be a better option from what we have seen so far?

Ta
 
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Hey Rowsus, we meet again. You must be sick of me by now! Just quoting myself from the Player X vs Y thread here. Would love to know your opinion, who do you think will rise to the higher price of the two?

Dylan Buckley v Lewis Taylor

Buckley seems like less of a vest risk at this stage, but Taylor probably has the better job security (especially with the injury to Rich). Taylor's DPP in the midfield would also be very handy, but I think it's a matter of who will peak the highest in price. Was setting on Buckley before this weekend but thought Taylor would rise more and Buckley's 34 now has me worried, but to be fair it was in an absolute thrashing. Thoughts guys?
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus, what would Josh Kelly need to average in order to generate more cash than Lewis Taylor averaging say 50? Or possibly Dylan Buckley averaging around the same.

Another possibility is to wait another week for Sheringham and Gordon, or to do a swap to KK by subbing Langdon into the mids (although I already have quite a few rd 8 bye players)

What would be your suggested method of action for Michie?

Love your work Rowsus!
Hi Rowsus.

Just wondering what your thoughts are on a replacement for Michie if he isn't picked this week (edit:just saw the news on his broken jaw, he won't be picked). I already have Tyson,Polec,Dunstan,Ellis and Aish in the mids so I'm making plenty of money and I've only used 2 trades so far. I was thinking Buckley but he was disappointing on the weekend. I'm not convinced on Crouch's job security. I have the money to get Kelly in but is he too pricey? Replacing Michie with a keeper is a lot of money to have to make. Given past overall winners have traded aggressively to complete their teams early am I being too patient by sitting on Michie for another round or 2 or 3?
Sorry Rowsus, didn't see dyii's post while I was writing mine. Same question really.
If Taylor averages around 50, then from here he will make about $100k. Kelly needs to average around 70 to make $100k (remember, he only played Melbourne on the weekend!). It's hard to judge the JS of Gordon and Sherringham. Neither set the world on fire in 2012, but they are 2 years older now. You just wish that Kelly had played a middle of the road, or just inside the 8 team, to give us a better insight. My gut feeling says Kelly seems expensive, and Sherringham might be on shakey JS. So do you wait for Gordon, or jump on Kelly now? Tough question, but I'm going to lean towards wait for Gordon, even though Richmond have a much tougher draw coming up than GWS.
On Crouch, I think he can, and will improve. We just have to wait and see on that one, I guess. At least if he and Gordon (and Sherringham) play this week, you get another look at them, and it makes the choice easier.
Sitting on Michie an extra week isn't such a big problem, getting the right replacement is the bigger concern. Aggressive Trading is good, as long as it has a point. If you were to take Kelly just to be "aggressive" that would be wrong, only take him if he is the best choice, in your opinion.
A couple of tough decisions coming up for everybody this week.
Good luck :)
 
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Is this analysis with an eye of swapping Suckling to Jaensch?
If so it comes down to the simple question, do you believe Jaensch can hold down D6, and Suckling can't? If the answer is yes, then swap now, before Jaensch's price rises more. If the answer is no, then it is a crazy trade.
I see nothing in Jaensch's history that would indicate a break out was imminent, but sometimes they are well hidden. I prefer to think, given his history it is just a hot streak, that is likely to continue this week against St Kilda. I don't think he's worth the trade in swapping from Suckling, but if you believe he has arrived, and is genuine D6 material, then I strongly suggest you get him in this week.
ill bring jaensch in this week and have both sorrta hedge by bets a bit each way and if neither hold def 6 be a good def 7 or easy upgrades
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus do you think this is Luke Parker's breakout year and that he could go on to be a top 6 forward at the end of the year? Or do you think that Buddy or someone else in that price range would be a better option from what we have seen so far?

Ta
I certainly think he's a chance to breakout this season. Top 6 might surpise me a little, but top 10-12 wouldn't surprise me so much. Prior to round 1 I had decided I would take one of T Mitchell, Parker and Buddy. Of course, I went T Mitchell :(. I think Buddy is more likely to be top 6, but Parker is more likely to be top 10! :confused: ie if Buddy fires he will be top 6, if he doesn't he won't be top 10. I think anyone who didn't take Buddy at his preseason price should ride their decision out. If he wasn't good enough to be in your team then, I can't see that much has changed now.
The other players in the Price range, with a chance to be top 6 are Rioli and Chapman, but both will probably miss games, and Zorko, though I don't rate him as high as some others here. In that price range, Parker looks as good a pick as any of the others.
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus, we meet again. You must be sick of me by now! Just quoting myself from the Player X vs Y thread here. Would love to know your opinion, who do you think will rise to the higher price of the two?
Hey Erich, nope not sick of you yet. There are certainly others that have asked a lot more questions here than you!
I don't think there will be much between them, but Taylors perceived better JS, as well as his DPP appear to make him a slightly better pick.
 
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Thanks Rowsus, if you have time can you have a glance at my team and see if I have any glaring mistakes or issues I should fix this week, my thinking was to generate some cash this week to upgrade to prem mid next week, as I will also have Fyfe coming back so looking at big score next weeek?

Thanks mate.
 

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I certainly think he's a chance to breakout this season. Top 6 might surpise me a little, but top 10-12 wouldn't surprise me so much. Prior to round 1 I had decided I would take one of T Mitchell, Parker and Buddy. Of course, I went T Mitchell :(. I think Buddy is more likely to be top 6, but Parker is more likely to be top 10! :confused: ie if Buddy fires he will be top 6, if he doesn't he won't be top 10. I think anyone who didn't take Buddy at his preseason price should ride their decision out. If he wasn't good enough to be in your team then, I can't see that much has changed now.
The other players in the Price range, with a chance to be top 6 are Rioli and Chapman, but both will probably miss games, and Zorko, though I don't rate him as high as some others here. In that price range, Parker looks as good a pick as any of the others.
Buddy is more likely than anyone to miss games. When was the last time he played a full season? He may well end up top 6 for average, but I doubt he will for total points. I'm happy leave Buddy alone all year...
 
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Buddy is more likely than anyone to miss games. When was the last time he played a full season? He may well end up top 6 for average, but I doubt he will for total points. I'm happy leave Buddy alone all year...
Yeah i agree, i think he's one of those player that if you don't start with him, you've gotta avoid. The thing with Buddy is he's bound to throw out a couple of monster in a row and tempt everyone by making him think "He's back!". Think you've gotta remember he's still a KPF rollercoaster and if you're not willing to ride it from the start there's no point jumping on halfway through.
 
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