Opinion Questions For Rowsus
- Thread starter Rowsus
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Hey Rowsus,
I'm not sure if you would have the information readily available, but if you reduced the threshold for breakout contender say one point at a time from 20+ to 19+ and so on, who would be the next player to join Swan and Ablett?
Going through the your work in the thread Chasing Last Years Points (MKII) I see if you change the threshold of breakout contender in another way; down by 2 points to 100 you can include players like Cotchin, Shaw, Roughead, McEvoy and if you decrease it to 99 you can increase Swan (a second time) and possibly others? While Ablett and Swan seem to clearly be outliers, the rest of the pack is not too far behind Liberatore - as arguably it is also easier to increase your average again when it is at the lower end of the range.
Therefore I don't think someone like Liberatore needs to join Ablett or Swan in the absolute elite category, but perhaps be just 6 points ahead of Cotchin or if you consider Cotchin's improvement over 2 seasons which was about +32 points, Liberatore doesn't even need to repeat that to still be a great pick in 2014.
I'm not sure if you would have the information readily available, but if you reduced the threshold for breakout contender say one point at a time from 20+ to 19+ and so on, who would be the next player to join Swan and Ablett?
Going through the your work in the thread Chasing Last Years Points (MKII) I see if you change the threshold of breakout contender in another way; down by 2 points to 100 you can include players like Cotchin, Shaw, Roughead, McEvoy and if you decrease it to 99 you can increase Swan (a second time) and possibly others? While Ablett and Swan seem to clearly be outliers, the rest of the pack is not too far behind Liberatore - as arguably it is also easier to increase your average again when it is at the lower end of the range.
Therefore I don't think someone like Liberatore needs to join Ablett or Swan in the absolute elite category, but perhaps be just 6 points ahead of Cotchin or if you consider Cotchin's improvement over 2 seasons which was about +32 points, Liberatore doesn't even need to repeat that to still be a great pick in 2014.
I thought about creating that data base as being interactive, so I could change the 102, or the +20, but decided the work involved didn't match the reward. So I saved myself some time, and just drew a line in the sand. I must admit, it would be very interesting to try different combinations, like +18 and 95 etc. , oh well! 
Rowsus as a Melbourne fan what do you think of Melbournes chances against West Coast next week? They're currently paying $3.10 head to head at Sportsbet which looks to be pretty good value.
Melbourne look to have a great draw coming off a 8 day break at their home ground without having to travel yet in the premiership season while West Coast make a long trip from the west after a 7 day break.
Melbourne look to have a great draw coming off a 8 day break at their home ground without having to travel yet in the premiership season while West Coast make a long trip from the west after a 7 day break.
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I thought I might hear from your good self on this topic.
He's looked good, but it's only game against an inferior opposition. If he looks good against Ess next week I guess you find a way to correct it. Who or which combination did you end up with instead?
He's looked good, but it's only game against an inferior opposition. If he looks good against Ess next week I guess you find a way to correct it. Who or which combination did you end up with instead?
Hey Rowsus,
Is it possible to look up supercoach scores round by round for last year? Was wanting to put something together around players who have scored well in weeks 1 and/or 2 only to drop back down in the following weeks.. A kind of 'cautionary tale' against early panic trades. Struggling to find the information though.. was hoping you knew anywhere this information exists?
Thanks!
Is it possible to look up supercoach scores round by round for last year? Was wanting to put something together around players who have scored well in weeks 1 and/or 2 only to drop back down in the following weeks.. A kind of 'cautionary tale' against early panic trades. Struggling to find the information though.. was hoping you knew anywhere this information exists?
Thanks!
Hey Rowsus,
Looking for some advice if you would be so kind. I had Travis Boak all year last year and he rewarded me with a 106 average. I was a little hesitant to grab him at 575k this year but did and he scored a heavily tagged 58. I also have Dale Thomas (I almost feel dirty, and not in a good way for that). I'm loathe to trade this week though.
They are two quality players and sideways trades I've learnt the hard way are never good. But Boak for Watson and Thomas for Tyson/Polec is bloody tempting. Sounds a no brainer but...
Any advice would be very appreciated.
Looking for some advice if you would be so kind. I had Travis Boak all year last year and he rewarded me with a 106 average. I was a little hesitant to grab him at 575k this year but did and he scored a heavily tagged 58. I also have Dale Thomas (I almost feel dirty, and not in a good way for that). I'm loathe to trade this week though.
They are two quality players and sideways trades I've learnt the hard way are never good. But Boak for Watson and Thomas for Tyson/Polec is bloody tempting. Sounds a no brainer but...
Any advice would be very appreciated.
Hey stocks71,
if you think you won't need to do more corrective trades, then hold off a week. If you think you will need to do some corrective trades after round 2, then pull the trigger. I can see Tyson/Polec performing at, or just below Daisy's level score-wise, so their dollar making will be much better than Daisy's. I don't believe Boak will be 110+ Keeper, so swapping to Watson also seems ok too.
if you think you won't need to do more corrective trades, then hold off a week. If you think you will need to do some corrective trades after round 2, then pull the trigger. I can see Tyson/Polec performing at, or just below Daisy's level score-wise, so their dollar making will be much better than Daisy's. I don't believe Boak will be 110+ Keeper, so swapping to Watson also seems ok too.
Hi Rowsus. Was a bit off radar since this last message as I fully focused on finalising my SC. Just wanted to let you know that before lock out, Cunnington was in and out of my team many many times. Was tossing up between Rockliff and him. And my final choice: Cunnington ! And I'm quite content with the decision too - hopefully it pays off. Yes, he did get a 92 against the Bombers and was concussed (gave me a heart attack), but man, he really racks up the contested possessions and clearances! Just a tad worried about the impact of Ziebell or Dal Santo - but, I guess this combination is similar to the Pies with Pendles, Swan and Beams.
If it doesn't pay off, not going to be too disappointed as he can be a POD M8. And, I won't hold it against ya mate !
If it doesn't pay off, not going to be too disappointed as he can be a POD M8. And, I won't hold it against ya mate !
Hey Rowsus,
Do you reckon I should do this? Next week?
Unfortunately I have J.Martin to offload after his LTI. However I have a bit of cash up my sleeve.
Also have Minson in which in hindsight was a silly move and I probably paid too much for him.
Yes I know he was up against the best Ruck combo in the comp but maybe should have waited.
So my plan (next week - depending on how they both go) was trade Minson to Mumford which would leave me just enough
cash to upgrade J.Martin to Fyfe or Cotchin. Leaning towards Fyfe.
Yes as mentioned I will probably wait a week but only issue is I am thinking Mumford will go big this week against St Kilda.
Or I could just hold the cash and trade Martin to another rookie and wait for a Selwood or Pendles.
My concern is after an ordinary 2152 start I need to get in another Premo mid or FWD
Any suggestions appreciated.
B: Mitchell, McVeigh, Swallow, Hurn, Langdon, Laidler (McDonald, Langford)
M:Ablett, Libba, Murphy, Beams, Dunstan, Tyson, Ellis (Michie,J.MARTIN)
R: MINSON, Sandi (Thurlow, Currie)
F: Danger, Martin, Pav, Caddy, Higgins, Rohan (McDonough, JKH)
Do you reckon I should do this? Next week?
Unfortunately I have J.Martin to offload after his LTI. However I have a bit of cash up my sleeve.
Also have Minson in which in hindsight was a silly move and I probably paid too much for him.
Yes I know he was up against the best Ruck combo in the comp but maybe should have waited.
So my plan (next week - depending on how they both go) was trade Minson to Mumford which would leave me just enough
cash to upgrade J.Martin to Fyfe or Cotchin. Leaning towards Fyfe.
Yes as mentioned I will probably wait a week but only issue is I am thinking Mumford will go big this week against St Kilda.
Or I could just hold the cash and trade Martin to another rookie and wait for a Selwood or Pendles.
My concern is after an ordinary 2152 start I need to get in another Premo mid or FWD
Any suggestions appreciated.
B: Mitchell, McVeigh, Swallow, Hurn, Langdon, Laidler (McDonald, Langford)
M:Ablett, Libba, Murphy, Beams, Dunstan, Tyson, Ellis (Michie,J.MARTIN)
R: MINSON, Sandi (Thurlow, Currie)
F: Danger, Martin, Pav, Caddy, Higgins, Rohan (McDonough, JKH)
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