Hey Pro,
here's how I see it at the moment.
RAMP has you losing by 91 and
SC Gold have you losing by 51(these both exclude Captain considerations, but take emergency loopholes into account), so the situation is not hopeless!
I think you have to approach it from a "what would I do in his situation" scenario. If I was sitting in Blue Dreamers shoes, I would be trying to block your avenues of attack. Pretty much your only avenue is your Captain and it's loophole, so there are a couple of things you can do.
You can choose a V and/or C from the list of POD's above. He can't block those! As you can see from your predicted scores, there are no stand out choices in your POD's. Maybe Martin, but then you risk 2 big unknowns. How will Essendon come out and play, and how will Martin come out and play! Martin's 137 last week had no goals kicked in it. You'd think if he kicked a goal or two, he'd have gotten around 150! Selwood is the obvious choice for one of C loophole picks, but I'm sure blue will be heading down that path, too! In fact, I think he will be Selwood V and Griffen C. He will want to leave his Captain pick to as late in the round as he can (assuming Selwood goes inder 120), to add just that little more pressure to your selections. By leaving it late, and possibly having Selwood up his sleeve, he can potentially force you into a false move. If you play your V on Friday, it gives him confidence to put his V on Selwood, knowing if your V fails he has blocked your most obvious escape route!
I guess it comes down to 2 choices. Do you have one crack at a "different" Captain choice, and if that fails, just hope you can make up the points in the head to head battles? Or do you roll the dice on your Captain twice? I think you're relying a little too much on luck relying on your head to head battles. I think you need to roll the dice on your Captain twice, and hope you get one that scores well that he hasn't blocked!
Just as a side note, both
RAMP and
SC Gold have Blicavs out scoring Sandilands this week, if he plays! Having said that, given Sandi has more potential for a monster than the Blics, I think it goes without saying, you need to play him if he's picked. Obviously something wrong with both of them, if they think Blics will beat Sandi!
Good luck!