Discussion Round 12: Teams & In Game Discussion (Bye - ESS, FRE, HAW, PTA, STK & WBD)

Do you have the minimum 18 playing and how many Keepers for this first bye round...?

  • Yes

    Votes: 67 80.7%

  • No

    Votes: 6 7.2%

  • Less than 10

    Votes: 2 2.4%

  • 10

    Votes: 3 3.6%

  • 11

    Votes: 6 7.2%

  • 12

    Votes: 12 14.5%

  • 13

    Votes: 17 20.5%

  • 14

    Votes: 14 16.9%

  • 15

    Votes: 4 4.8%

  • More than 15

    Votes: 9 10.8%
  • Total voters
    83
Professor

Professor

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Carlton
#81
DFS Strat Round 12: Tigers v Cats
On June 5, 2019 By aflratingscomau

TRENDS & OPPORTUNITIES
Article by @aflratingsPete
RICHMOND
Richmond conceded 400 Disposals or more in 5 of their opening 7 games of the H&A season, since then the Tigers have conceded an average of 360.8 Disposals per game (Rank 6).
Bachar Houli has scored 100pts or more in 75.0% of games this season, he has averaged 127.8pts from his last 4 games.
Ivan Soldo has averaged 6.0 Disposals, 2.0 Marks, 5.0 Tackles & 31.5 Hit Outs in 2 games this season (2 Game Ave: 69.0pts).
GEELONG
Geelong have conceded an average of 357.8 Disposals this season (Rank 3), the Cats have conceded an average of 363.7 Disposals away from GMHBA Stadium.
Tom Stewart averaged 101.0pts from his opening 8 games this season, he has averaged 80.7pts from his last 3 games.
Joel Selwood has failed to score 100pts or more in 4 consecutive games, he has averaged 73.5pts over the same period (Season Ave: 80.6).

TEAM STACKS
RICHMOND
Bachar Houli R11: 1.61 PPM

DS $14.52K, MB $8.9K
Dustin Martin R11: 1.25 PPM

DS $13.33K, MB $8.8K
Sydney Stack R11: 1.11 PPM

DS $9.96K, MB $5.8K
Total Salary: DS $37.81K, MB $23.5K

GEELONG
Tim Kelly R11: 1.07 PPM

DS $14.72K, MB $9.1K
Patrick Dangerfield R11: 1.29 PPM

DS $14.52K, MB $9.2K
Jordan Clark R11: 0.96 PPM

DS $8.28K, MB $5.2K
Total Salary: DS $37.52K, MB $23.5K

*PPM: Points per Time on Ground %

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Herbie66

Herbie66

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#85
quite ironic said:
Anyone looking at round 14 trade in targets. Treloar and Oliver will be great prices after their byes.

Expecting around 525k for Oliver and 500k for Treloar.
Click to expand...
Was just looking at some price estimates for both of those and M Crouch.

Undecided whether to grab Cogs this round or wait for Crouch & Treloar.

Although if Sloane misses may just move him on.
 
GrainFedBeef

GrainFedBeef

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#87
Herbie66 said:
Was just looking at some price estimates for both of those and M Crouch.

Undecided whether to grab Cogs this round or wait for Crouch & Treloar.

Although if Sloane misses may just move him on.
Click to expand...
any view why Cogs has been ordinary and then has a big game vs GC. many others have had spike games against them too. is it start of a trend or aberration?
 
Leroy

Leroy

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#92
GrainFedBeef said:
any view why Cogs has been ordinary and then has a big game vs GC. many others have had spike games against them too. is it start of a trend or aberration?
Click to expand...
As some astute coaches have pointed out, Cogs actually has a history of being ordinary and then punching out big scores.
In 2018, on his way to a 21/108 season after starting with 5 straight 100s he had 10 games out of 16 at 100 or less. Four of his 100+ scores in that time were 157, 150, 143 and 138.
In 2016, on his way to a 21/106 season he again punched out 6 straight 100s and then had 6 of 13 at 100 or less while still hitting 139, 138 and 121 in that run.
GC have given up some huge scores so may just have accentuated one of his spike games. He looks to be a player that either goes on a 5-6 game run of solid hundreds or pumps out 70-90 type scores with the occasional spike. His spikes seems to be getting bigger (154 and 207 this year) but he's already had a run of 4 100+ scores so I'd say settle in for a roller coaster: frustrating 80s and 90s punctuated with 140+.
 
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