Strategy 2024: Round 6 Trades
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In my post about Heeney here I noted that historically Heeney had clusters of good scoring that were o***et by clusters of poor scores to return a mediocre average.
Heeney has gone at 144 over the first 5 so I can't see him going at 144 over the first 10. He has to regress at some point.
However in the same post I hypothesised about Heeney averaging 116 over his first six matches and he's now cooking at 25% better than that, so really, I have no clue what I'm talking about.
I imagine he'll probably keep the role as the incumbent (he's in rare form so why ruin a good thing) but will start to share with others so will come back to the 110-115 mark or thereabouts.
Heeney has gone at 144 over the first 5 so I can't see him going at 144 over the first 10. He has to regress at some point.
However in the same post I hypothesised about Heeney averaging 116 over his first six matches and he's now cooking at 25% better than that, so really, I have no clue what I'm talking about.
I imagine he'll probably keep the role as the incumbent (he's in rare form so why ruin a good thing) but will start to share with others so will come back to the 110-115 mark or thereabouts.
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Yeo, McGovern and Crouch have all been amazing starting picks, whoever started all 3 would be very well placed right now and kudos to them for taking them on, the trouble is they’re all highly injury prone, looking back over the last 5yrs for all of them….
Yeo 21 10 12 5 10 games
McGovern 21 11 15 10 9 games
Crouch 18 19 16 11 7 games
I wouldn’t discourage anyone from getting them in as their all killing it, but the odds of them making it through the season (which is what we’re paying/hoping for) is heavily stacked against you.
Yeo 21 10 12 5 10 games
McGovern 21 11 15 10 9 games
Crouch 18 19 16 11 7 games
I wouldn’t discourage anyone from getting them in as their all killing it, but the odds of them making it through the season (which is what we’re paying/hoping for) is heavily stacked against you.
I started Crouch knowing that he would be traded out at some stage, preferably at his bye, $490k was very good value considering his finish to last season, he's now $540k (not a huge price rise) which makes it a simple one trade move to a fallen premium, plus minimal cash if needed. Got Yeo in at $447k and he's now $540k so he's also just a one trade cost if he goes down. For those that got McGovern he's also in the same boat.
The risk for me with those players was having them go down early on where I would have used 2 trades to get them up to a premo or, more than likely, downgrade to a MP.
The risk in bringing them in now is really just the 1 trade cost in trading them out should they go down.
The risk for me with those players was having them go down early on where I would have used 2 trades to get them up to a premo or, more than likely, downgrade to a MP.
The risk in bringing them in now is really just the 1 trade cost in trading them out should they go down.
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I've got Jackson in my forward line and currently don't have Flanders. Do we think it's worth a sideways trade to grab Flanders? Jacksons scoring is starting to piss me off and will probably get worse with Darcy back, and Flanders seems to be killing me in head to head matches every week.
So far I've used one trade, Carroll to Graham.
So far I've used one trade, Carroll to Graham.
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Well done in getting both Crouch and Yeo in at base price and yes you’re in a great position now with a lot of top line mids dropping price rapidly-you could even make money on Oliver! Same with Yeo a straight swap to Sicily, my point was more for coaches getting them in now, all 3 may very well play out the season and be top10 in their positions, but history suggests buying now means they’re going to be replaced which as you say would be a straight swap but it also slows down your progress in finishing your team, starting and swapping 1trade, bringing in then swapping 2 trades, I know we have 40 trades this season but they can go quick and we still have the next lot of byes to get through as well. Regardless well done on starting 2of the 3 👍
Thanks, you're dead right about the need to conserve trades, I've been going hell for leather trying to set my team up for this tranche of best 22 games. When I factor in the amount of upgrades, including luxury upgrades to still be done then I'll be at the bare minimum (7 trades) coming out of the MBR's, so there's no room for any more stuffing around. Having Yeo and Whitfield is the most risk that I can get away with. Of course those coaches that have been less profligate with their trades than I have could probably afford that risk.
Looks like I've painted myself into a corner with 6 premos (using the term premos loosely) missing the round 12 bye and wondering if anyone might have a solution given that I'm not keen on trading them to players that still have a bye coming?
Sheezel, Whitfield, Green, Grundy, Heeney and Powell are the ones missing with Powell a possible upgrade to a Parker/Adams/Zorko in round 13 and Grundy > Marshall in round 16.
Guess I'll just have to take a hit and hope that having more premos in the later bye rounds makes up for it.
Sheezel, Whitfield, Green, Grundy, Heeney and Powell are the ones missing with Powell a possible upgrade to a Parker/Adams/Zorko in round 13 and Grundy > Marshall in round 16.
Guess I'll just have to take a hit and hope that having more premos in the later bye rounds makes up for it.
only one that you could upgrade from is grundy, rest would all be sideways which i think isnt worth at this point in the year
sheezel green heeney powell are likely all keepers. not convinced whitfield is top 6 with how reliant he is on loose balls
most people would be in the same situation with around 4-6 premos off rd12. just important to factor it in when you decide which rookies to bring in as youd want at least 21 players playing that round
sheezel green heeney powell are likely all keepers. not convinced whitfield is top 6 with how reliant he is on loose balls
most people would be in the same situation with around 4-6 premos off rd12. just important to factor it in when you decide which rookies to bring in as youd want at least 21 players playing that round