Opinion Questions For Rowsus
- Thread starter Rowsus
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Hi Rowsus,
You have been bombarded with replacement for Jobe Watson posts, I might add another one in there with a bit of spice.
Currently ranked in the top 200 and I am looking at picking up a super unique POD that could possibly blossom for the remainder of the year (ave 110)
Player I am talking about is Brad Ebert.
I am looking to find a player that is performing in a top side who is going WAY under the radar. Looking at Port, there are too many players in that side that would get tagged before this bloke, Boak, Hartlett, Gray, Ollie Wines and possibly a couple of others. He is averaging just over 100 and IMO I think he is one of the major factors at why Port have become the team they are currently. He is influential, last season I saw a stat where from all his inside 50s entries they scored 49% of the time, seems like it is has continued on this year as well. Another strength of his is his tackling, he lays a quite few tackles a game and when he tackles a player the tackle sticks. Also last season he was ranked as one of the best link up players in the competition.
Like I said I am looking left field for a replacement that could contribute to my side climbing the overall ladder.
Some other players I have looked at in the similar mould as Ebert are Hannebury from Syd, Mundy from Freo, Lewis from Haw and to a really risky extent Cunnington from North.
What are your thoughts on Ebert, could you see him averaging 110 from here on in?
Cheers
You have been bombarded with replacement for Jobe Watson posts, I might add another one in there with a bit of spice.
Currently ranked in the top 200 and I am looking at picking up a super unique POD that could possibly blossom for the remainder of the year (ave 110)
Player I am talking about is Brad Ebert.
I am looking to find a player that is performing in a top side who is going WAY under the radar. Looking at Port, there are too many players in that side that would get tagged before this bloke, Boak, Hartlett, Gray, Ollie Wines and possibly a couple of others. He is averaging just over 100 and IMO I think he is one of the major factors at why Port have become the team they are currently. He is influential, last season I saw a stat where from all his inside 50s entries they scored 49% of the time, seems like it is has continued on this year as well. Another strength of his is his tackling, he lays a quite few tackles a game and when he tackles a player the tackle sticks. Also last season he was ranked as one of the best link up players in the competition.
Like I said I am looking left field for a replacement that could contribute to my side climbing the overall ladder.
Some other players I have looked at in the similar mould as Ebert are Hannebury from Syd, Mundy from Freo, Lewis from Haw and to a really risky extent Cunnington from North.
What are your thoughts on Ebert, could you see him averaging 110 from here on in?
Cheers
Rowsus any thoughts on Andrew Swallow?
Before last year he was pretty safe for a 110 average and I actually picked him at the start of last year to take the next step and average 115ish. He started the year like a house on fire but then slowed down and put up a few bad scores before he got injured.
I'm looking at a cheapish option for Cotchin so I can use my funds to get Rocky/JPK and Stevie J for Watson and Tyson.
Before last year he was pretty safe for a 110 average and I actually picked him at the start of last year to take the next step and average 115ish. He started the year like a house on fire but then slowed down and put up a few bad scores before he got injured.
I'm looking at a cheapish option for Cotchin so I can use my funds to get Rocky/JPK and Stevie J for Watson and Tyson.
I guess it comes down to how confident you are SJ will match or outscore Rockliff. It is a dangerous week to do it, given Rocky can go big against weak teams, and SJ's record against St Kilda is only average, though St Kilda are weaker now. You have to weigh that against the potential price difference of Polec dropping in price, and Hannebery/Jack holding or rising in price.
The difference in doing it next week is calculated as:
(SJ's score + Jacks score - Rocky's score - Polecs score + 46) x $440 or
(SJ's score + Hannebery's score - Rocky's score - Polecs score +39) x $440
If your confidence on SJ is high, then pull the trigger. If you have any doubts, then explore other options. It's pretty much as simple as that. If Rocky goes 150-160 it could be balanced out by Polec going 70, and Jack/Hannebery going 120.
Good luck
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Hey Lobo,
Harvey/Gray are definitely good targets, and are likely to outscore your current F4/5/6. The problem with shifting Dangerfield up is you are basically saying that Roughead/Pavlich/Wingard are better scoring prospects than SJ/Libba/Fyfe. The move leaves Rough/Pav/Win in your team, while Danger takes a spot that could be taken by better scorers than Rough/Pav/Win.
It comes down to 3 choices.
Choose which one of Rough/Pav/Win you are willing to sacrifice to get Harvey/Gray.
Find a way to trade in Harvey/Gray that moves Rough/Pav/Win to F7 for loopholing/back-up purposes.
Live with the fact you just can't have Harvey/Gray, unless you are happy for them to sit at M8, because even though you'd shift Dangerfield up there, it is the equivalent of having Harvey/Gray at M8.
Roughead and Pav have lowish B/E's, and Wingard has a highish one. Keep in mind that Wingard's B/E will reduce dramatically next week, when his 10 drops out of his pricing cycle. All three of those players would appear to be some sort of chance to miss games, but it would seem likely that Pav is the one most likely to get a rest, or even worse a "red vest" rest.
I think you'd better off targetting someone like Fyfe, even with the "Lyon effect" factored in, than sitting a DPP Fwd in your Mid line. You have Shenton in your Mids right now, creating the desired link, you don't need/want another on the ground.
Good luck
Harvey/Gray are definitely good targets, and are likely to outscore your current F4/5/6. The problem with shifting Dangerfield up is you are basically saying that Roughead/Pavlich/Wingard are better scoring prospects than SJ/Libba/Fyfe. The move leaves Rough/Pav/Win in your team, while Danger takes a spot that could be taken by better scorers than Rough/Pav/Win.
It comes down to 3 choices.
Choose which one of Rough/Pav/Win you are willing to sacrifice to get Harvey/Gray.
Find a way to trade in Harvey/Gray that moves Rough/Pav/Win to F7 for loopholing/back-up purposes.
Live with the fact you just can't have Harvey/Gray, unless you are happy for them to sit at M8, because even though you'd shift Dangerfield up there, it is the equivalent of having Harvey/Gray at M8.
Roughead and Pav have lowish B/E's, and Wingard has a highish one. Keep in mind that Wingard's B/E will reduce dramatically next week, when his 10 drops out of his pricing cycle. All three of those players would appear to be some sort of chance to miss games, but it would seem likely that Pav is the one most likely to get a rest, or even worse a "red vest" rest.
I think you'd better off targetting someone like Fyfe, even with the "Lyon effect" factored in, than sitting a DPP Fwd in your Mid line. You have Shenton in your Mids right now, creating the desired link, you don't need/want another on the ground.
Good luck
Hi JT,
Firstly, yes I agree with Jay. Early in the season, if you have your Captain choices sorted (my mistake this season), then structure and money making is more important than this Premium or that Premium. As we get later into the season, that obviously becomes less important, but things like completing DPP links, which falls under structure, can be important.
I can understand you baulking at Rocky and Libba's price, however I think I'd avoid Swan. He's not tearing the mediocre teams apart like he used to, and he may not return the 110 other options might produce. Sloane is a stronger pick, if you are happy with something in the 105-110 area in my opinion. I like Fyfe best of the ones you don't have, but seeing as you have Barlow, you may not want to put too many eggs in the Ross Lyon basket. Dal has also been scoring well in north's wins, aside from last weeks flop, so he too is an option. Given your team, and your thoughts, I'd choose between Sloane and Dal.
Good luck
Firstly, yes I agree with Jay. Early in the season, if you have your Captain choices sorted (my mistake this season), then structure and money making is more important than this Premium or that Premium. As we get later into the season, that obviously becomes less important, but things like completing DPP links, which falls under structure, can be important.
I can understand you baulking at Rocky and Libba's price, however I think I'd avoid Swan. He's not tearing the mediocre teams apart like he used to, and he may not return the 110 other options might produce. Sloane is a stronger pick, if you are happy with something in the 105-110 area in my opinion. I like Fyfe best of the ones you don't have, but seeing as you have Barlow, you may not want to put too many eggs in the Ross Lyon basket. Dal has also been scoring well in north's wins, aside from last weeks flop, so he too is an option. Given your team, and your thoughts, I'd choose between Sloane and Dal.
Good luck
Hi Bobbie,
in your situation I'd avoid S Martin right now. You don't have a link in your Rucks to move him up if needed, and he's only played one game. Let's see how how he looks this week before jumping on him.
A lot depends who you were going to target for your Cutler upgrade. If it was Hanley, then he is likely to rise more in price this week, than Higgins will drop in price. That becomes a factor. The other thing to factor in is, how does your key League match up look this week? Is it really important to deal with Watson straight away? If the match appears to be in the balance, then the answer is yes. Depending on how that match up looks, you could even go totally leftfield, and go Watson to O'Brien, have a ton of cash, and upgrade Hartung next week.
There are a few questions that need to be answered before you can make the best decision. There is even talk of Cutler playing again this week, which would allow you to loophole Cutler/Litherland at D6 this week, while you look after other problems.
On face value, without knowing the answers to those questions, my best advice is Watson to SJ, and ride out your D6 for at least another week.
Good luck
in your situation I'd avoid S Martin right now. You don't have a link in your Rucks to move him up if needed, and he's only played one game. Let's see how how he looks this week before jumping on him.
A lot depends who you were going to target for your Cutler upgrade. If it was Hanley, then he is likely to rise more in price this week, than Higgins will drop in price. That becomes a factor. The other thing to factor in is, how does your key League match up look this week? Is it really important to deal with Watson straight away? If the match appears to be in the balance, then the answer is yes. Depending on how that match up looks, you could even go totally leftfield, and go Watson to O'Brien, have a ton of cash, and upgrade Hartung next week.
There are a few questions that need to be answered before you can make the best decision. There is even talk of Cutler playing again this week, which would allow you to loophole Cutler/Litherland at D6 this week, while you look after other problems.
On face value, without knowing the answers to those questions, my best advice is Watson to SJ, and ride out your D6 for at least another week.
Good luck
Wards an interesting one. He's averaging 22 less when Mumford misses, even though admittedly that includes the 48, but even if you adjust that it is still a 10-15 point difference. So backing Ward, you are also backing Mumford to hold fitness and form. It's an added risk that needs to factored in. Having said that, he's a really good player, and if he was playing in a better team he would be just below Selwood in the rankings (imo). You can get him for nearly a straight swap, and his price should rise. If you can live with the Mummy correlation, go Ward.
Good luck
Good luck
Hi T-mu,
I understand your thinking, but I don't think Ebert is your man. I can't see him averaging 110 from here. His main hurdle is in the last 2.5 seasons he only has one score higher than 130, and only 5 scores of 120+ in his last 45 games. It's too hard to keep a good average going without those better scores on a more consistent basis.
If you need a POD in that price range, I'd prefer Swallow or Cunnington, though North though they aren't a top team. If the price range isn't important, then I'd look more to K Jack (3.45% of teams) or Hannebery (3.18%), they fit your description better, and are more likely to score at 110 than Ebert (imo).
Good luck
I understand your thinking, but I don't think Ebert is your man. I can't see him averaging 110 from here. His main hurdle is in the last 2.5 seasons he only has one score higher than 130, and only 5 scores of 120+ in his last 45 games. It's too hard to keep a good average going without those better scores on a more consistent basis.
If you need a POD in that price range, I'd prefer Swallow or Cunnington, though North though they aren't a top team. If the price range isn't important, then I'd look more to K Jack (3.45% of teams) or Hannebery (3.18%), they fit your description better, and are more likely to score at 110 than Ebert (imo).
Good luck
ZP, I think A Swallow is a good player to take a risk on at his price. I've seen him play this year (on my computer) and he is slowly gathering form. It wouldn't surprise me at all if he scored well from here. It's a risk, but it sounds like the money saved is being put to good use. If you're not right up the pointy end of the rankings, I'd go for it.
Good luck
Good luck
I really don't like the idea of using 2 trades to get JPK, when you can get the other 3 guys in one trade. I like Fyfe best of those 4 anyway, to be the highest point scorer from here on in. I'd get Fyfe.
Good luck
Good luck
Would you trade Cotchin to Fyfe? Do you think Fyfe will score more the Cotch and do you think i should do it. Have a look at my team if you can and let me know my weakest link.
I do think Fyfe will outscore Cotch, and quite comfortably. I can't see Cotch coming good in the short term. He's obviously carrying a niggle or two, and he rarely kicks long, unless he is rushed into it. He looks like a player in need of a week or two off, but Richmond just can't afford it right now.
Your weakest links aren't that weak. When it looks like Cotchin/Pavlich/Wingard are your weakest (on-field) links, your team is travelling ok!
Your weakest links aren't that weak. When it looks like Cotchin/Pavlich/Wingard are your weakest (on-field) links, your team is travelling ok!
Good evening Rowsus
I've got the Sandi Cox combo with Currie and king on the bench. After trading Watson to SJ (with $115,800 in the bank and 11 trades) I need to do something about Cox or cop a doughnut. Options I'm considering are:
a) Cox to Nic Nat and pocket another $65k to take the bank to $180k
b) Currie to Stefan Martin for cover this week leaving $30700 in the bank
c) Cox to Jacobs leaving $75800 in the bank
d) or maybe a better idea if you have one
I'm leaning toward option a as it means it takes me closer to completing my side next week.
What are your thoughts?
I've got the Sandi Cox combo with Currie and king on the bench. After trading Watson to SJ (with $115,800 in the bank and 11 trades) I need to do something about Cox or cop a doughnut. Options I'm considering are:
a) Cox to Nic Nat and pocket another $65k to take the bank to $180k
b) Currie to Stefan Martin for cover this week leaving $30700 in the bank
c) Cox to Jacobs leaving $75800 in the bank
d) or maybe a better idea if you have one
I'm leaning toward option a as it means it takes me closer to completing my side next week.
What are your thoughts?
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