Opinion Questions For Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus,

Just wondering if you've done some analysis on Kolodjashnij? Do you believe he could beat the 2nd year blues and prove to be a valuable pick? Struggling to find a player in that price range that I like.
 
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Rowsus

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Thanks Rowsus; but really it has been my pleasure. BTW, have never met an actuary (and I have met quite a few) who was really happy in his / her work. They all seem to believe they can be more useful in management. Go figure.

A quick SC question that has me confused. 30 March the tiges promote Kent Lambert from the rookie list. 1 April they list him as an emergency. Does not add up to me - why promote a rookie you are not going to play. I am tempted to put him on the bench, as his minimum price helps so many other lines. Any thoughts?
There is a precedence, and probably more than one. In the days before the 2012 season, Melbourne elevated Tom Couch from the Rookie list. He had a good reputation, and quite a few locked him into their SC teams. From memory, just like Lambert, he was emergency in Round 1, and in quite a few other rounds, until he debuted in Round 16!
There is a big plus, and a big minus to keeping Lambert in your team.
The big plus is, you don't have to restructure everything because you are short of dollars (assuming you are) to upgrade him, and his DPP link is useful.
The big minus is, you might miss an obvious, and potentially only downgrade target if he's already sitting in your team. If he's on the bubble in round 6 or 7, and looking good, those that don't have him grab him with glee in a downgrade of a fat cow, while your left scratching your head looking for an option.
There's no right answer right now. If you are happy to park him at M11, that's ok, if you can afford someone else, that obviously ok too. I think if he's your only Rookie missing, and it upsets your structure to replace him, just keep him.
 
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There is a precedence, and probably more than one. In the days before the 2012 season, Melbourne elevated Tom Couch from the Rookie list. He had a good reputation, and quite a few locked him into their SC teams. From memory, just like Lambert, he was emergency in Round 1, and in quite a few other rounds, until he debuted in Round 16!
There is a big plus, and a big minus to keeping Lambert in your team.
The big plus is, you don't have to restructure everything because you are short of dollars (assuming you are) to upgrade him, and his DPP link is useful.
The big minus is, you might miss an obvious, and potentially only downgrade target if he's already sitting in your team. If he's on the bubble in round 6 or 7, and looking good, those that don't have him grab him with glee in a downgrade of a fat cow, while your left scratching your head looking for an option.
There's no right answer right now. If you are happy to park him at M11, that's ok, if you can afford someone else, that obviously ok too. I think if he's your only Rookie missing, and it upsets your structure to replace him, just keep him.

Thank you, the perspective that distance affords is valuable.
 
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Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus,

Just wondering if you've done some analysis on Kolodjashnij? Do you believe he could beat the 2nd year blues and prove to be a valuable pick? Struggling to find a player in that price range that I like.
Hi hunter,
yes, I believe he could be a useful pick this year. I think he has the potential to beat those 2nd year blues, and I'd be surprised if he dropped in value, so there would appear to be only a small downside to him, from that perspective. Good JS, shouldn't go backwards, and as you said, one of the few in that price range worth taking a punt on.
 

Philzsay

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A quick SC question that has me confused. 30 March the tiges promote Kent Lambert from the rookie list. 1 April they list him as an emergency. Does not add up to me - why promote a rookie you are not going to play. I am tempted to put him on the bench, as his minimum price helps so many other lines. Any thoughts?
There is a precedence, and probably more than one. In the days before the 2012 season, Melbourne elevated Tom Couch from the Rookie list. He had a good reputation, and quite a few locked him into their SC teams. From memory, just like Lambert, he was emergency in Round 1, and in quite a few other rounds, until he debuted in Round 16!
Just to add further someone in the AFL system explained to me a couple of years ago that in regards to promoting a rookie firstly the LTI injured player has to agree and secondly the AFL manager (Not sure who it is exactly) has to also approve of the promotion. I assume the promotion approval is pretty much a formality. Further a rookie has to be promoted in order to be named as an emergency. Hence why this is all done before the teams are named.

Hence Lambert may legitimately be an emergency in case someone trips over a suitcase on game day etc, or they may already have plans to play him in this game, but who really knows with footy and all of the cloak and dagger stuff!
 
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Hey Rowsus,
Do you think Dahlhaus is a valid selection? I didn't see him playing in the NAB but he scored 99 and 108 from 2 games, possibly playing more midfield without Libba and Griffen?
Thanks, love your work.
 

Burly

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Hey Slammer,
to be honest, unless you think your M5 is well above 100, I think NicNat and Lycett will outscore your M5 + Hogan. I'm not holding high hopes for Hogan to be anything more than a 65 player this season.
My opinion aside, there is nothing wrong with backing a strong M5 over Lycett/Ruck cover. Playing Lycett at R2, with the aim of upgrading a Fwd to a R1/R2, and dropping Lycett down to the Fwd line in about Rnd 6 or 7, is a path a few smart Coaches are taking, and there's nothing wrong with that plan. It locks a trade/donut into your team if you get a R1/R2 out before that, but that is the risk side of the risk/reward equation. I don't think my estimated gain of NN/Lycett over your M5/Hogan is enough for you to change your plan, particularly as it sounds like you are pretty keen on your M5. I'd stick fat with what you've got.
Hi Rowsus,
I was one of the coaches who was planning to have Lycett at R2, with the intent of switching him forward at some stage in the future (perhaps around the byes), to occupy the F6 slot and to cover ruck injuries. At this point in time I now have Bellchambers in this role - simply because the extra $ allows me the M5 (Danger) and B3 (Lumumba) that I want.

My question relates to the potential scoring difference between TBC and Lycett. Surely TBC at $300K is a bargain if he is named as Essendon's sole ruckman? I am aware of his injury history and scoring limitations, but he surely has to go at 70-80 ppg if he is in the action? Whether he can maintain his position or stay on the park throughout the season is another thing entirely - no point having him as ruck cover if he is on the treatment table! This is my major question mark over my team, just wondering if you had any thoughts?
(Thanks in advance for your wisdom, hope you have a great SC season!)
 
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Rowsus do you have set numbers for what you expect/hope that each of your players is averaging by the time that your team is "complete"? (EG M1 130, M2 125 and so on) If so what is a ballpark that we should be aiming at across the whole team?
 

brad182

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Hey Rowsus, what's your thoughts on Big Tex Walker?
He's currently in my team because of his nice first half draw, will Probally look to upgrade him. Really think he can pull some big scores this first half of the year and I assume he's a POD. He's fired up
 

Steuby

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Hey Rowsus, What are your thoughts on Rockliff? After seeing his solid finish to his season last year , i'm worried that the return of Rich and the addition of Beams might create a conflict of points.
 

Philzsay

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Hey Rowsus, What are your thoughts on Rockliff? After seeing his solid finish to his season last year , i'm worried that the return of Rich and the addition of Beams might create a conflict of points.
Hi Steuby, as Rowsus will probably be under the pump once he wakes up (He is overseas) I'd suggest in the mean time that you have a look at the thread below. He has done a massive analysis on Rocky there.

http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/2124-Tom-Rockliff-Real-Deal-Or-Bank-Buster
 
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Hey Rowsus,

I am planning on starting Mumford in the rucks, then switching Bellchambers from my forward line into the rucks and trading Mummy out early. I am hoping I will be able to get two premos in quickly by doing this, one in the midfield and one in the forward line. How many rounds will I need to hold onto Mummy for players like Cam McCarthy and Patrick Cripps to appreciate enough in price to become stepping stones? I would ideally do it after just 3 rounds, but how much would McCarthy and Cripps appreciate in that short time if they were to average 80?

Thanks,
BomberSam.
 

Bob Loblaw

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Hey Rowsus,

I am planning on starting Mumford in the rucks, then switching Bellchambers from my forward line into the rucks and trading Mummy out early. I am hoping I will be able to get two premos in quickly by doing this, one in the midfield and one in the forward line. How many rounds will I need to hold onto Mummy for players like Cam McCarthy and Patrick Cripps to appreciate enough in price to become stepping stones? I would ideally do it after just 3 rounds, but how much would McCarthy and Cripps appreciate in that short time if they were to average 80?

Thanks,
BomberSam.
I'm just going to jump in and point out price rises happen after round 3. So if you will need to hold on to players like Cripps (one of the best rookies) for at least I would say another 4 weeks afterwards. After 1 round at 80 I suspect a 40kish price rise which is not nearly enough when you will be aiming to get 200k+ minimum out of him.
 
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I'm just going to jump in and point out price rises happen after round 3. So if you will need to hold on to players like Cripps (one of the best rookies) for at least I would say another 4 weeks afterwards. After 1 round at 80 I suspect a 40kish price rise which is not nearly enough when you will be aiming to get 200k+ minimum out of him.
Thank you, McClungeMagnet.
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rowsus,
Do you think Dahlhaus is a valid selection? I didn't see him playing in the NAB but he scored 99 and 108 from 2 games, possibly playing more midfield without Libba and Griffen?
Thanks, love your work.
Hey Lenny5, thanks for that. :)
I have no doubt Dahlhaus could turn out to be a valid selection. His price is scaring a lot of people off, including me, but he could easily be a good POD selection. I think a lot of people look at him, look at the Bont, and take the Bont because of the price difference, and the media hype.
 

maken7

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Hi Rowsus

Here we go again for another year..
All the best this season

Would appreciate any critiques/advice/changes I could make--

Rem Salary: $105500

DEF
K.Simpson B.Smith H.Lumumba J.Newnes B.Goodes K.McIntosh (A.Saad J.Hamling)

MID
G.Ablett S.Pendlebury N.Fyfe J.Selwood J.Anderson I.Heeney P.Cripps (CEY T.Miller A.Vandenberg)

RUC
T.Goldstein N.Naitanui (R.O'Brien)

FWD
L.Franklin D.Martin D.Swan M.Clark J.Hogan N.Krakouer (T.Lamb K.Lambert)



Should I keep Lambert, Krakouer and Hamling?
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus,
I was one of the coaches who was planning to have Lycett at R2, with the intent of switching him forward at some stage in the future (perhaps around the byes), to occupy the F6 slot and to cover ruck injuries. At this point in time I now have Bellchambers in this role - simply because the extra $ allows me the M5 (Danger) and B3 (Lumumba) that I want.

My question relates to the potential scoring difference between TBC and Lycett. Surely TBC at $300K is a bargain if he is named as Essendon's sole ruckman? I am aware of his injury history and scoring limitations, but he surely has to go at 70-80 ppg if he is in the action? Whether he can maintain his position or stay on the park throughout the season is another thing entirely - no point having him as ruck cover if he is on the treatment table! This is my major question mark over my team, just wondering if you had any thoughts?
(Thanks in advance for your wisdom, hope you have a great SC season!)
Hi Burly,
I apply a rule to a player I select, that I know I am going to, in all likelihood, trade out/upgrade. I want them to make at least $100k profit. Rookies more like $180-$200k, but Stepping Stones, I will say "wellllll..... ok" at $80k, but less, and I think you should have gone another route. That rule may be too harsh in this situation, given the special circumstances around the R/F coverage. If you were to apply it, TBC needs to average 80 to be a good pick. I have a few things putting me off him. Firstly, I am avoiding all Essendon players, just because of the uncertainty with them about preparation etc. Secondly, his scoring and injury history. Lastly, I believe it is in the realms of possibility, even if unlikely, that Lycett could score at a F6 level. I don't believe TBC can. TBC will/should naturally improve with experience. We all know Rucks can take 2 seasons longer than a normal player, to reach their potential. This could be TBC's year to do that, but with everything else, I don't want to bet on him doing it.
Your reason for taking him is quite legitimate, but I would have a plan with him. We know he may be unreliable, so I would really be setting a Rnd 6/7 target to get him down to your Fwd line, or to R3. It's all part of the risk/reward equation. TBC is your risk, a better M5 is your reward. There is nothing wrong with that move.
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus

Here we go again for another year..
All the best this season

Would appreciate any critiques/advice/changes I could make--

Rem Salary: $105500

DEF
K.Simpson B.Smith H.Lumumba J.Newnes B.Goodes K.McIntosh (A.Saad J.Hamling)

MID
G.Ablett S.Pendlebury N.Fyfe J.Selwood J.Anderson I.Heeney P.Cripps (CEY T.Miller A.Vandenberg)

RUC
T.Goldstein N.Naitanui (R.O'Brien)

FWD
L.Franklin D.Martin D.Swan M.Clark J.Hogan N.Krakouer (T.Lamb K.Lambert)



Should I keep Lambert, Krakouer and Hamling?
Hi maken7,
sorry, I don't do "Rate My Team" here. The thread would fill up with them if I did, and I don't have time to do them all.
Hamling is a JS/low score risk.
I would only keep one of Lambert and Krakouer (if not named), unless you are 100% sure/happy with your other Rookie selections.
 

Rowsus

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Rowsus do you have set numbers for what you expect/hope that each of your players is averaging by the time that your team is "complete"? (EG M1 130, M2 125 and so on) If so what is a ballpark that we should be aiming at across the whole team?
Mudflap, I don't set an expectation for each one, but I look at what I might be happy with for my D6/M8/F6, and then keep in mind that I should only have one player, maybe sometimes two, that I expect to score at that rate. It can vary from season to season. Right now I am looking at:
D6 around 90
M8 around 105-108
F6 around 95-97
 
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