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Opinion Rate My Team (Team Picker Only)
- Thread starter IDIG
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Team 1:
D: McVeigh, Bartel, Yeo, Smith, MW Brown, Bonner (Hartley, Hibberd)
M: Pendles, Ablett, Selwood, Rockliff, Libba, Crouch, Freeman, Sumner (Cuningham, Mathieson/Keays, Morabito)
R: Goldstein, Lobbe (Read)
F: Deledio, Martin, Barlow, Franklin, Kerridge, Petracca (Kommer, Adams)
Cash left: 154.1k
or alternatively:
R: Goldstein, Martin (Read)
F: Deledio, Martin, Barlow, Leuenberger, Kerridge, Petracca (Kommer, Adams)
Cash left: 105.4k
Leaning towards the second option if Leuey is fit to play in round 1. Thoughts on structure? Option 1 vs. option 2?
Any idea how I might spend the extra cash. I don't really mind having 100k in the bank to start the season though.
All comments and criticisms much appreciated.
D: McVeigh, Bartel, Yeo, Smith, MW Brown, Bonner (Hartley, Hibberd)
M: Pendles, Ablett, Selwood, Rockliff, Libba, Crouch, Freeman, Sumner (Cuningham, Mathieson/Keays, Morabito)
R: Goldstein, Lobbe (Read)
F: Deledio, Martin, Barlow, Franklin, Kerridge, Petracca (Kommer, Adams)
Cash left: 154.1k
or alternatively:
R: Goldstein, Martin (Read)
F: Deledio, Martin, Barlow, Leuenberger, Kerridge, Petracca (Kommer, Adams)
Cash left: 105.4k
Leaning towards the second option if Leuey is fit to play in round 1. Thoughts on structure? Option 1 vs. option 2?
Any idea how I might spend the extra cash. I don't really mind having 100k in the bank to start the season though.
All comments and criticisms much appreciated.
I really like that 6-1-4 midfield structure JS. Earlier pre-season I had a 5-2-4, but a few members told me that it may have been overkill considering lots of the cash generating rookies are to be had in the midfield. With that being said, Libba/Crouch/JOM could make a lot of cash themselves, and it's risk/reward as to whether one of them may become a keeper. I currently have 4-2-5 with a 4-0-4 forward line, but I could change it to a 3-0-5 forward line like you to go with a 5-2-4 midfield.
I don't see much downside in going 7 deep (premiums/midpricers) in the midfield as long as the speculative picks are limited to 1-2.
EDIT: After having a fiddle around with things, I can already see it would change my structures significantly, so I'll probably put my 5-2-4 midfield to rest. My last comment still stands though for those who will go 7 deep.
I don't see much downside in going 7 deep (premiums/midpricers) in the midfield as long as the speculative picks are limited to 1-2.
EDIT: After having a fiddle around with things, I can already see it would change my structures significantly, so I'll probably put my 5-2-4 midfield to rest. My last comment still stands though for those who will go 7 deep.
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It keeps me in line when I pick my teams. That's not to say guys between 550k - 475k in the midfield are midpricers, I just can't call them premiums and reasonably satisfy myself that they are premiums, unless they are a 2014 Beams type. That is a no-mans land area that I generally try to stay away from, as to be successful the player generally has to 'breakout' (Wines) or increase their average by about 10 ppg (A.Swallow/R.Griffen 2015).
I have no issues paying 50k more for a player that had a down year but should return to form (i.e. Selwood, Pendles). The players that generally fit this bill are the top 10 rated players in the competition e.g. Dangerfield was 4th overall in the AFL Player Ratings at the start of 2015, but was priced at 106 or there abouts.
For me, that means I'm picking Selwood, Sloane, Pendles, JPK and Harvey. Years of a scoring trend, and picking players that regularly play over 21 games in a seasons is also a major plus.
I have no issues paying 50k more for a player that had a down year but should return to form (i.e. Selwood, Pendles). The players that generally fit this bill are the top 10 rated players in the competition e.g. Dangerfield was 4th overall in the AFL Player Ratings at the start of 2015, but was priced at 106 or there abouts.
For me, that means I'm picking Selwood, Sloane, Pendles, JPK and Harvey. Years of a scoring trend, and picking players that regularly play over 21 games in a seasons is also a major plus.
WOW Jurn Stern...I calculated approx. 6.85MM spent across your 13 Premiums! Assuming your 2 mid-price selections are at the 300-350K mark, that leaves around 2.5MM for your remaining 15 Rookies. Definitely GnR setup if I may say so myself, which is something I'm strongly considering building my team around.
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I must admit, I've never understood the amount of love for Smith here so far this pre-season. After looking at his table/numbers, I've fallen out of love with Yeo. I don't want to be on any WC players with FTB tendencies, given their toughish early draw. I'm totally on the fence with Merrett. If the NAB shows he is playing mainly Mid, I will probably jump on board, if it is 50/50 Mid/Fwd, I will go without him.
I think it is ok. The higher the price you pay, the more certain you need to be that they'll at least go close to last years output. Seems a bit obvious saying that, but it's amazing how many Coaches just lock in high priced players, without comparing expectation to price. The obvious example this year is Goldy, though for what we are talking about, it probably isn't fair to compare Rucks with Mids. If people are locking in Goldy, with an expectation he will be under 118 this coming season, or less than say 5/game clear of the 2nd best Ruck, I would say they are crazy.
Let's assume Fyfe is 100% fit. Unless you thought he'd be at least a 90% chance to be 116-117+ in 2016, then I wouldn't start with him. Going in with the a "I know he'll be top 8 for Mids" attitude doesn't cut it for me. Having said that, he doesn't become a Lock if you believe he will be 120, but he shouldn't be considered as a starting option, if you think he will only be 115. He is $670k. If he goes 115/game, then history says you will probably pick him up at around $550-$560k at some stage of the season.
I like your approach of banking the players with good on field history, that definitely lowers the risk. If you have set reasonable expectations, and those expectations are that the players at worst should score within 5/game of last season, then load up as many of those expensive 20+ game players as you can. The only thing I'd say to those reading this, is that one season of say 117, and a history of 103 - 108, doesn't make 112 a reasonable expectation for 2016. You'd want a bit more than 1 seasons history, to be paying top dollar at the start of the season.
Let's assume Fyfe is 100% fit. Unless you thought he'd be at least a 90% chance to be 116-117+ in 2016, then I wouldn't start with him. Going in with the a "I know he'll be top 8 for Mids" attitude doesn't cut it for me. Having said that, he doesn't become a Lock if you believe he will be 120, but he shouldn't be considered as a starting option, if you think he will only be 115. He is $670k. If he goes 115/game, then history says you will probably pick him up at around $550-$560k at some stage of the season.
I like your approach of banking the players with good on field history, that definitely lowers the risk. If you have set reasonable expectations, and those expectations are that the players at worst should score within 5/game of last season, then load up as many of those expensive 20+ game players as you can. The only thing I'd say to those reading this, is that one season of say 117, and a history of 103 - 108, doesn't make 112 a reasonable expectation for 2016. You'd want a bit more than 1 seasons history, to be paying top dollar at the start of the season.
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