Analysis BBL|09 Player's Price & Break Even Projections by TAILS

[Tails]

Round 11 BE calcs:

- Please point out any gremlins as this is a combined formula / manual process ...
- Not exactly sure what happened to the price changes last round as most seemed to be excessive ....
- So instead of any drastic changes will keep the MN the same for this round with input from @THCLT as usual ...

 

[Erek22]

Brendon Dogett's base price should be $101,700

 

[Hondo]

Tails i always find myself scanning the whole list to find who I want. Could you sort it by team? Or is there a good reason for sorting it by average?

 

[Pookus McFly]

Tails i always find myself scanning the whole list to find who I want. Could you sort it by team? Or is there a good reason for sorting it by average?

They are organised by team as he updates it just after each game, just scroll back and look at them that way if you prefer the format

 

[Hondo]

They are organised by team as he updates it just after each game, just scroll back and look at them that way if you prefer the format

Ok

 

[Tails]

Tails i always find myself scanning the whole list to find who I want. Could you sort it by team? Or is there a good reason for sorting it by average?

It is just the way I've set up my spreadsheet.

Of course I can look at them by individual teams but don't want to chew up too much space here.

 

[Hondo]

It is just the way I've set up my spreadsheet.

Of course I can look at them by individual teams but don't want to chew up too much space here.

It’s ok I can go back and look up what I need in your shorter tables as pointed out. It’s just a way of getting to specific players I am looking at quicker.

 

[Darkie]

It’s ok I can go back and look up what I need in your shorter tables as pointed out. It’s just a way of getting to specific players I am looking at quicker.

Personally I check my team/the SC site for the average of the player I’m interested in and go from there. It’s usually fairly quick, especially for those I already own, or other players whose averages I roughly know (Stoinis, Curran etc - less so the Mujeebs and co).

 

[Woosie]

It is just the way I've set up my spreadsheet.

Of course I can look at them by individual teams but don't want to chew up too much space here.

Thanks again for the updates @Tails. Have you thought about dropping of the first few rounds or four, to give the extra space. This stuff is that good I print it out, but it's getting smaller. A bit harder to see.

 

[Tails]

Thanks again for the updates @Tails. Have you thought about dropping of the first few rounds or four, to give the extra space. This stuff is that good I print it out, but it's getting smaller. A bit harder to see.

I have and usually do for myself as the season gets longer in some sports ...

 

[Tails]

Round 11 Game 1 update:

Note : Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

 

[Bomber18]

Geee Wade will be cheap....! I paid about the same price for Dunk earlier in the year

 

[Bomber18]

If Miller was put in the system for 46k at the start of the year, every man and his dog would be starting him! But weirdly, even at that price, I still feel he’s somewhat of a risk....

This comment didn’t age well at all...! What about 73k with a negative BE....?

 

[Tails]

Thanks again for the updates @Tails. Have you thought about dropping of the first few rounds or four, to give the extra space. This stuff is that good I print it out, but it's getting smaller. A bit harder to see.

Have found a way to condense it a bit more (see next update) ... not many H & A rounds to go and I prefer to keep all season scores as a reference ...

 

[Woosie]

Very cool. Thanks for taking the time to listen.

 

[Tails]

Round 11 Game 2 update:

Note : Any player that didn't play will not get the predicted price change ...

 

[MarnusMarnusMarnus]

Hey Tails, I love your work. It’s brilliant. Just curious, what’s your best guess for Labuschagne’s Breakeven when he returns to Big Bash. I know he hasn’t played yet this season, but his price is $62,500. Any thoughts?

 

[Tails]

Hey Tails, I love your work. It’s brilliant. Just curious, what’s your best guess for Labuschagne’s Breakeven when he returns to Big Bash. I know he hasn’t played yet this season, but his price is $62,500. Any thoughts?

Priced to average 22 ... so that will be his starting BE ...

 

[MarnusMarnusMarnus]

Priced to average 22 ... so that will be his starting BE ...

Ok thanks heaps

 

[Hawk41]

@Tails @THCLT
Have you looked at the scorchers last price increase in the game?
It looks wrong, looks like for their 3 game average they have used the first game from their dgw against canes and not 2nd game against stars.

ie Jyhe Richardson's last 4 scores have been 144, 40, 61, 26 so his 3 game average is 42.3 but he went up $200 this round.
We can see in your latest chart his b/e was 129 but still went up in price with a 26.