Can't say I love him as a pick. He's a butcher, so always going to be starting from firmly behind the 8 ball.
Last year was a full year of NicNat in absolutely optimal circumstances, with basically no Yeo, sadly looking possible again
, limited Shuey, limited Redden and no Hutchings. Basically he was their #1 midfielder and produced a 96, finished the last 6 at 96, last 9 at 90, his best season was a 103. He's just gone through the 3 year window that is generally the prime scoring period for gun mids.
It's always possible but I honestly struggle find a compelling narrative for why he'd improve? Is he going to learn to kick? Even then, is he going to get considerably more ball? Best case I can come up with is Yeo, Shuey and Hutchings at full strength, Hutchings doing the team things, the midfield dominating for more ball but that's already looking unlikely (Hutch and Yeo injuries still going) and really if I believed that, why not just take Yeo or Shuey who are cheaper and more proven, and realistically if that happens he goes more outside to a peripheral role.
I might be missing something on him but I can't even really construct the 110+ narrative on him and that's his minimum acceptable score at that price.