Position SC 2021: Midfielder Discussion

Which ‘keepers’ are you planning on starting with?

  • Neale

    Votes: 48 43.2%
  • Oliver

    Votes: 31 27.9%
  • Macrae

    Votes: 86 77.5%
  • Bontempelli

    Votes: 13 11.7%
  • Merrett

    Votes: 80 72.1%
  • Fyfe

    Votes: 21 18.9%
  • Cripps

    Votes: 54 48.6%
  • Rowell

    Votes: 21 18.9%
  • Taranto

    Votes: 34 30.6%
  • Other

    Votes: 45 40.5%

  • Total voters
    111
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I’ve found myself upgrading dusty to titch
if I need the funds for a few better rookies I’ll just go back to dusty but it just feels so good having titch at m3 knowing he’ll still average 110+ and play every game. He’s still doing all the running. He played through the injury last year and averaged 113 ***. Now it’s pain free he’ll be even better
I remember reading last month that Mitchell is expected to require up to four months rehabilitation from his shoulder reconstruction. Hmmm, doesn't sound like he will be playing at his peak for a while.
 
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Great little stat that one SS, thanks!

That being said though, the Crows were “Better” in the second half of the year. (Them being abysmal in the first half meant there was only one way - up).
Chicken meet egg. Seriously though, they were better because of those two and those two scored better because the team was performing better. Sustainable roles, Brouch/Hately cancels out for mine although Brouch was out for a good chunk of that.



Are we being too quick to disregard players like Titch and Danger? They may start slower and drop a bit of $$ but you could say all the top premiums will also drop some $$ from inflated points/prices.

They both have nice early draws and I keep coming back to them.
I think you've kind of answered your own question. I don't think anyone is writing them off as players, just as starting picks. If you they're going to start slower and drop $$$ then they're perfect upgrade targets.

For mine:

Danger - Preseason injury is countered by him being such an attention whore/drama queen that it quite probably is nothing and he's just fishing. Role is a real big question, Cameron's arrival also a question, does he take forward half targets and hurt the considerable time Danger spends there or does he release him to play more pure midfield and help him? Ultimately there's enough questions there and his history when limited in the preseason is to start slow.

I think at the end of the day he's not likely to improve his average, quite probably going to be a decent amount cheaper and thus makes a lot of sense to upgrade into, especially given his worst case is a big drop if he's genuinely got OP type problems and spends a lot of time as the 3rd target up forward. Basically I don't think you end up paying more for him later.

Mitchell - Injury is a big issue for mine, tackling and contested ball are huge parts of his game, shoulder injuries are notorious problem injuries (think Ablett) and he's not that far off being priced fairly to his non-Brownlow level season. While I think there is a case he can improve and bounce back to those heights an injury interrupted preseason is not the best basis for that.

I again come to the end thinking he's pretty fairly priced with questions of early form and durability that make it worth at least seeing how he looks. Same as Danger I think you're unlikely to pay significantly more for him, even if he starts strong he wont move a lot, such is the nature of early price rises going mostly to rookies.
 
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Chicken meet egg. Seriously though, they were better because of those two and those two scored better because the team was performing better. Sustainable roles, Brouch/Hately cancels out for mine although Brouch was out for a good chunk of that.





I think you've kind of answered your own question. I don't think anyone is writing them off as players, just as starting picks. If you they're going to start slower and drop $$$ then they're perfect upgrade targets.

For mine:

Danger - Preseason injury is countered by him being such an attention whore/drama queen that it quite probably is nothing and he's just fishing. Role is a real big question, Cameron's arrival also a question, does he take forward half targets and hurt the considerable time Danger spends there or does he release him to play more pure midfield and help him? Ultimately there's enough questions there and his history when limited in the preseason is to start slow.

I think at the end of the day he's not likely to improve his average, quite probably going to be a decent amount cheaper and thus makes a lot of sense to upgrade into, especially given his worst case is a big drop if he's genuinely got OP type problems and spends a lot of time as the 3rd target up forward. Basically I don't think you end up paying more for him later.

Mitchell - Injury is a big issue for mine, tackling and contested ball are huge parts of his game, shoulder injuries are notorious problem injuries (think Ablett) and he's not that far off being priced fairly to his non-Brownlow level season. While I think there is a case he can improve and bounce back to those heights an injury interrupted preseason is not the best basis for that.

I again come to the end thinking he's pretty fairly priced with questions of early form and durability that make it worth at least seeing how he looks. Same as Danger I think you're unlikely to pay significantly more for him, even if he starts strong he wont move a lot, such is the nature of early price rises going mostly to rookies.
I agree on Titch. Oliver had a shoulder reco in the 2018/2019 o***eason and then dropped 5ppg on his season average, with 3 sub 100s in the first 4 rounds.

As for Danger, he’s a wait for mine. He’s in the lucky position that even though he’s ageing, the whole Cats midfield is old and they’ve traded most of their younger players. Duncan 29, Danger 30, Selwood 32, Higgins 32, Menegola 28, so he won’t be pushed out due to age. Certainly not a lock, but in the consideration basket.
 
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Does Sidebottom become more interesting with the Adams news?
Probably not as I think Adams is back for round 1 and takes the role anyway, just don't like losing that last month of preseason action for his own prospects.

Sidey could still be strong though, he scores regardless of role basically, think a bit more inside tightens his ratio up though.
 
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Interesting article about Rowell :-

Matt Rowell (GC $495,100)

120, 167, 189, 111, 147, 128, 146, 129, 177, 152, 266, 80, 172, 142, 114, 6.

They are Matt Rowell’s KFC SuperCoach scores in his past 16 games covered by Champion Data at any level.

The 266-point performance was his last in the NAB League and the 172-point score was his second AFL game.

But his most recent score of six may be the most relevant when looking ahead to 2021.

Before the injury against the Cats in Round 5, Rowell averaged an extraordinary 124 points in the opening four games of his career.

That sort of figure would usually price him around the $670k mark.

But after missing the rest of the season – and with the six-point score included in his 2020 average – Rowell is priced at an average of 92.

Rowell used his time-off to study the game further and looks set to return even stronger in 2021.


We know this kid is an absolute freak, if he plays in the preseason games & looks in great nick he is going to be very hard to resist despite the small sample size/ coming off shoulder surgery.

I was completely blown away by his game v WCE in round 2 last year :-
26 disposals at 80.8 per cent efficiency, 14 contested possessions, seven tackles and two goals - all team highs - as well as five clearances.

Just an astounding display, one of the most impressive games I have seen over the last few years.
The only question is backing up from the shoulder and will get tagged as he did in the Geelong game. expect massive volatility in his scoring due to that, like Bont (who was tagged 5 out of first 6-7 games last year). everyone will have him I expect, like Cripps due to FOMO

Opinions on Treloar seems to have the most secure role at the dogs and could very easily benefit from the added support though I could be overrating this pick just because I see a f*** you Bucks game in Round 1.
Could be good, does his TOG drop due to keeping him fresh and number of midfielders that can rotate through? Better for his hamstrings to not over do I would expect and manage his load.
 
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Article about Rowell on the AFL website:

https://www.afl.com.au/news/547638/-humble-gun-to-take-big-step-on-road-to-round-one

This mentioned a few changes around the mid structure:

Dew said Rowell's return to the midfield would strengthen an area of the ground Gold Coast has developed depth in during the past 12 months.

He said Noah Anderson would spend more time "inside" in 2021, while Izak Rankine would also push higher up the ground to be on-ball more regularly in the coming year.

Not sure who the losers would be from this. Most likely Weller and Swallow?

1612912542937.png
 
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So hard to settle on 5-6 mids I would like to start with. Feel like 13 keepers is the min you want to go in.
Super difficult. Certainly gravitating towards the value in the middle at this stage, but that still comes with it's own risks.

Happy to lock away Neale, and Oliver is my next preferred super-premo at this stage.
 
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It’s tempting but I’d rather find the money and start a Heeney or Williams type at that price on their lines instead. Heeney and Williams will be closer to top 6/8 forwards and defenders over serong who won’t get near the top 6/8 as a mid at that price
that’s how I view it anyway.

I’m very skeptical of guys in that 400-500 range that aren’t gonna be near the absolute premiums in their positions.
 
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I have a soft spot for Serong as he was one of my better picks last year. Tough pick at that price now as he'd need a 20-25 point improvement playing a role he essentially had last year. Love watching him as a player. The kid is a jet
 
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So hard to settle on 5-6 mids I would like to start with. Feel like 13 keepers is the min you want to go in.
I'm 12 keepers: Harmes, Preuss and the three premium rookies ZDI. 12-2-3-5. It's interesting because in previous years 14 to 15 Premiums was achievable. I think trading this year will be most challenging since the move to 30 trades (or any year I selected Tom Rockliff).
 
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