With Mills playing as a mid in the practice match, I’m very much interested but if he were to come into my team it would be at the expense of Stewart.
So Mills v Stewart?
Stewart is the safe pick with limited upside, probably 105 seems high end of his scoring but also limited downside. Be surprised if he's outside the 95-105 window.
Mills is the risky pick with high upside, his upside stretches all the way to that Dangerfield/Petracca breakout 115+ range if he's as good as he looks and was as a junior but stretches all the way back down towards 85 if he ends up in defense and the Swans are more competitive or even could be in the 80/90s if he just doesn't take to the midfield role, think of a guy like Brodie Smith for example.
I've gone Mills but I've got what is a pretty safe side otherwise and he's one of my riskier picks.
Yeah with the way the teams are announced this year I won’t even know if Flynn is named until after Gawn plays which makes it hard.
Just think Flynn could be the best scoring rookie and him on field in a year with lack of rookies could be huge.
We will know on Flynn before hand as it will be a debut and it will be obvious. If we don't see Mummy at all next week again it's his spot.
Agree totally on Flynn's scoring potential and value on field. From what I've seen I'd say that Downie is the only rookie right now I think presents a similar value profile. Campbell, Ziebell and Cox all look capable of scoring towards the same level but come at premiums.
I find your point about Heppell making 130k of he matches his rookie output in the same role quite compelling. I’ll need to think about that, but it’s a strong argument to my mind.
The challenge I’m facing is that at the moment, it’s more like Heppell + terrible/non existent def rookie vs Young/Cumming + probably decent mid rookie ...
... although I can potentially break that nexus if Heppell is a solid standalone pick worth building around, which I think you’ve made a pretty good case for.
Heppell realistically is battling a rookie in most scenarios and he can match most of them, the question is what does that 200k allow elsewhere? Can you generate more points or save trades in the future with it or is Heppell and his JS and scoring certainty a better utilisation? Can easily make both cases.
Heppell is one of those rare mid-price picks who has the range to workout with ending as a keeper.