A concern I have with Sicily. Since Hawthorn have an abundant number of rebounding defenders, have they got enough good Forwards?
If Hawthorn need some help in the Forward line, then Sicily looks like the obvious choice?
I don't know why but the forward thing isn't concerning me nearly as much as the Scrimshaw, Jiath, Impey, Day and Bramble additions on top of Hardwick's progression to genuinely good rebounding defender in the last 18 months while Sicily has been out.
I can't help but see a very similar outcome to last year with Ridley after Hind, Redman and Heppell all started eating into the core roles. Sicily took a very high % of kick-ins in his top year, lose even 3 or 4 a game and you've lost a solid 5 points. DGB and Jiath stealing a few intercepts would be another 5 and very quickly you're looking at a low 90s guy instead of a 105 guy.
He just still kind of feels like a trap even if the value is sensational if he works out.
Ultimately I think he's going to be so popular that not picking him is a bad option as the reward for getting it right is probably 1.5 trades and the reward for getting it wrong is a genuine premium defender at 120k discount and the saved trades of that pick that you don't have.
Really tough pricing point given some of the forwards at similar prices and their upside as well and it's really hard to go heavy at 450k and not get a few wrong.
Maynard is that hard one. If they're genuinely playing Daicos and Pendles in defense then someone actually has to be there to play defense and Maynard is on a completely different tier to all their other mid/small guys as an actual defender. None of the rest of them are actually very good defensively so I kind of feel they need him.
That said he could score very well as a midfielder so it's hard to pick.
Another who to me has little reward in "nailing it" that you can't get by grabbing him a month in after you know the answer. Feels like there's too many outcomes that are bad for that low chance of a super pick.