Discussion 2022: Rookie Discussion
- Thread starter Shannon
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So after 6 Rounds , Footywire shows 25 players as having increased in price by $ 100,000.00+ , only 9 of these are rookies
Martin 195,600
Daicos 187,900
O'Driscoll 164,400
Hayes 156, 400
Naish 148,100
JHF 114,900
Dixon 113,900
McCartin 110,900
Rachele 105,800
Naish , Dixon , McCartin all previously.been in the system
Martin 195,600
Daicos 187,900
O'Driscoll 164,400
Hayes 156, 400
Naish 148,100
JHF 114,900
Dixon 113,900
McCartin 110,900
Rachele 105,800
Naish , Dixon , McCartin all previously.been in the system
On the flip side, both Hayes and Preuss are scoring at fieldable levels and given roles should continue to do so, starting them over a JHF, Rachele or NOD type is going to pay on-field dividends more often than not.
Hayes also a very good shot at making 250k, that kind of cash generation is a pretty massive sacrifice just for some short term structural gains, that's basically 1.5 upgrades worth of cash.
Reality is that he's pretty perfectly time for the byes as well, if he sustains current average then he makes 250k at his bye, admittedly the unideal first bye but could cover for the Witts, Gawn and whatever hell else is representing a ruck premium by that point. Preuss and Marshall the only relevant rucks that share his bye.
Personally I think Hayes is the first genuine must have rookie target (could argue Preuss if classifying as genuine rookie). He's a really good tap ruckman with an elite midfield group, that's a very good combination.
Hayes also a very good shot at making 250k, that kind of cash generation is a pretty massive sacrifice just for some short term structural gains, that's basically 1.5 upgrades worth of cash.
Reality is that he's pretty perfectly time for the byes as well, if he sustains current average then he makes 250k at his bye, admittedly the unideal first bye but could cover for the Witts, Gawn and whatever hell else is representing a ruck premium by that point. Preuss and Marshall the only relevant rucks that share his bye.
Personally I think Hayes is the first genuine must have rookie target (could argue Preuss if classifying as genuine rookie). He's a really good tap ruckman with an elite midfield group, that's a very good combination.
There are very limited scenarios that going early can be justified but given you've still got injury risk it's not common.
The main scenarios off the top of my head being:
1. Genuine best 22 type, this is generally a round 1 thing with a guy like Preuss for example (who probably didn't tick the clear best 22 part). Sometimes though a top rookie misses early games with injury and can be picked early. I think Greg Clarke could be a contender for this for example.
2. Multiple targets. This is lessened with trade boost, but if there are, now, 4 downgrade options that are all very good, going early on one can ensure getting all 4. I did this last year with the Newcombe/Bramble/Third (I forget the 3rd) last year for example and recall also doing it with Serong a couple of years ago.
3. No one on the bubble or terrible bubble options. Pretty obvious.
4. Byes. Pretty obvious again.
The main scenarios off the top of my head being:
1. Genuine best 22 type, this is generally a round 1 thing with a guy like Preuss for example (who probably didn't tick the clear best 22 part). Sometimes though a top rookie misses early games with injury and can be picked early. I think Greg Clarke could be a contender for this for example.
2. Multiple targets. This is lessened with trade boost, but if there are, now, 4 downgrade options that are all very good, going early on one can ensure getting all 4. I did this last year with the Newcombe/Bramble/Third (I forget the 3rd) last year for example and recall also doing it with Serong a couple of years ago.
3. No one on the bubble or terrible bubble options. Pretty obvious.
4. Byes. Pretty obvious again.
You're right in what you've said, traded out Grundy last week so I could get Preuss on field (had him at R3) should have done it a couple of weeks ago but got talked out of it. Hayes is in to R3 and kept Dixon (hopefully out for just 3 weeks) Xerri is holding down F6 but he might go next week or the one after to help fund the final mid spot which will send Martin to F6, leaving me with 4 upgrades to complete the team. It's going to be vital to keep that cash gen bubbling along to finance those upgrades and I don't want to be scraping the bottom of the barrel to do it as I already have enough underperforming 'premos' that look like they'll be filling those 'end of line' spots.
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- Joined
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