Strategy 2024: Round 6 Trades

[Bombers2win]

Couple of observations...

The quality of finished teams this year is going to be insanely good. Everywhere I look, there's either cash cows ready for sale or rookies who've just re-energized their price rise. I'm being extremely aggressive in trading just to keep up with the abundance of downgrade options we're getting. Trac Bont English Dawson Stewart Green etc. all providing low cost entries in the coming weeks will add to this. Every week I'm just hanging out for the following week to open so I can keep improving my team and see how it looks.

The only drawback - the lack of quality premium forwards is startling (I say this planning to trade Jackson next week). Doesn't even look like any DPP candidates coming. Genuinely a case of Heeney & Flanders and then the rest.

It almost feels like you need to get Shai Bolton in next week at his price. With Taranto/Hopper out and a full run at the mids, he might be one of the only decent options? I guess maybe Toby at circa 450k is pretty good.

Good call on the fwds, nearly brought Shai in last week but went Martin instead, been looking at Powell, was reluctant to bring him in with Simpkin out concussed and Phillips hanging around but it seems as though he might be a target, Rankine sparked interest but needs goals instead of marks and tackles to lift his floor, Zorko, has he reinvented himself or just holding mckennas spot?

 

[vsberlina]

Just a harmless little knock can upset the back, and 4 weeks or longer on the injury list. But my goodness such good value for what he can produce.

So tempting, i have been convince to wait another week but if he gets trhough with no injury concerns will be difficut not to select.

Injury risk aside, I still don't think he's value. At that price, he's expected to return 110 for BE.
Had one season @ 117 avg, and I doubt he'll do better than that this season.

I'd rather look at Petracca, who has consistently done better than Walsh.
With the poor score, he'll likely dip under $600k in 3 weeks, and I'd rather pay the extra $20k.

 

[NT.Thunder]

Just a harmless little knock can upset the back, and 4 weeks or longer on the injury list. But my goodness such good value for what he can produce.

So tempting, i have been convince to wait another week but if he gets trhough with no injury concerns will be difficut not to select.

Agree 100%, but I was listening to a coach say that with an injury like his, it's not the first game that's difficult to get through, it's usually the second game due soreness. Couple this with Walsh's second game being against an undefeated GWS I'd be prepared to wait a week just to make sure.

But another good game and lining up for his third I imagine he'll be the number 1 trade in target.

 

[Connoisseur]

LDU an interesting prospect for both owners and non-owners. Was keen on him as a starting pick but he was squeezed out and now feel as though I’m keen on trading him in. A lot of his basic statistics are very similar to last year. Will list current year first for a comparison and then have 2023 and 2022 listed after that.

Disposals - 27.6 v 27.4 v 24.9
Marks - 3.2 v 3.7 v v 4.3
Tackles - 3.8 v 4.5 v 4.4
AF - 93 v 97 v 93

So not much of a change there but as dive deeper we see the real reason for the drop off.

Disposal efficiency - 68.1% v 76.2% v 76.1%
Kicking efficiency - 59.2% v 69.7% v 66.7%
Contested possession rate - 41.3% v 46.5% v 44.2%
Clangers - 4.4 v 3.4 v 3.5
Supercoach - 94 v 114 v 101

So a drop off in efficiency, a slightly lower contested possession rate and an extra clanger a game is hurting his SC score.

LDU is doing plenty right but just not enough at the moment. Will he revert to the mean or is the 2023 LDU the outlier? A lot of people on here have said he hasn’t passed the eye test which you can’t quantify but is hard to deny.

Excellent analysis. Did not consider as a starter due to the confidence in Steele and Miller, a lack of premium scoring history at his price range and unsure of what his potential upside was comparative to others along with the average likely inflated due to playing only the 14 games. 8/10 tons in the 120+ range and a few sub eighties, in the expectation that if he had played more towards the 20 game range it would be dropping closer to 110 rather than up to say 120. Will be very interesting over the next few rounds to see how he and Dawson perform as potential upgrade targets for the M8 spots and what sort of scores we will be looking for.

 

[vsberlina]

Not convinced about Comben. Would rather leave that FOR spot for the following week and go for one of Drury or Bigoa.
Got Clohesy and Graham, so where else can I go to try make some cash for upgrades in Rd 7?

Seriously thinking of a sideways trade of Bont to Steele.
Frees up $40k to be used next week, and with a BE of 164 to 70, if they score the same, Steele makes $43k more.
Then if they score the same the following week, Steele make another $30k.
As I feel Steele will be a top 8 MID this season, it will actually cost me only 1 extra trade (to get Bont back),
so no (likely) loss of pts, $73k cash made, and $40k freed for upgrades. Good business in a week of few opportunities?

 

[NDD]

Relying on best 18 to carry Liber so just McKercher and Sexton to Graham and Combden. I guess a best 18 week is not a bad week to carry an injured premium. Get a few shots at the cherry.

sexton could be of value with comdens DPP ,he has a lot of late games

 

[chopsticks]

Couple of observations...

The quality of finished teams this year is going to be insanely good. Everywhere I look, there's either cash cows ready for sale or rookies who've just re-energized their price rise. I'm being extremely aggressive in trading just to keep up with the abundance of downgrade options we're getting. Trac Bont English Dawson Stewart Green etc. all providing low cost entries in the coming weeks will add to this. Every week I'm just hanging out for the following week to open so I can keep improving my team and see how it looks.

The only drawback - the lack of quality premium forwards is startling (I say this planning to trade Jackson next week). Doesn't even look like any DPP candidates coming. Genuinely a case of Heeney & Flanders and then the rest.

It almost feels like you need to get Shai Bolton in next week at his price. With Taranto/Hopper out and a full run at the mids, he might be one of the only decent options? I guess maybe Toby at circa 450k is pretty good.

Bolton could be the man but I wouldn't rely on him getting extra mid time. His percetage of CBA's hasn't really changed and we usually just go with one of either him or Dusty in there and the other forward.

I can see teams starting to put a lot of work into Bolton because atm he's probably the only player we have capable of winning us a game, and if he gets shut down we are absolutely screwed.

 

[NT.Thunder]

Sexton played a half of VFL and had 23 disposals and was taken off so I wouldn't be putting a line through him just yet.

 

[Vicwood]

Injury risk aside, I still don't think he's value. At that price, he's expected to return 110 for BE.
Had one season @ 117 avg, and I doubt he'll do better than that this season.

I'd rather look at Petracca, who has consistently done better than Walsh.
With the poor score, he'll likely dip under $600k in 3 weeks, and I'd rather pay the extra $20k.

Lots of players to consider, Walsh is a injury risk at any time. Bont ,Green, Petracca with poor returns last week are options in a few weeks. Another sub 100 from Green or Bont this week will make them real cheap in the short term.

Still undecided as to what to do this week, coud only be the Clark to Graham trade. Still gives me a full 22 to choose from this week.

A few rookies on the the radar in 2 weeks time.

 

[Vicwood]

Agree 100%, but I was listening to a coach say that with an injury like his, it's not the first game that's difficult to get through, it's usually the second game due soreness. Couple this with Walsh's second game being against an undefeated GWS I'd be prepared to wait a week just to make sure.

But another good game and lining up for his third I imagine he'll be the number 1 trade in target.

Yes, with best 18 this week, i am leaning towards waiting another week on walsh and save the boost. Also give me time to see how Green and Bont go this week.?

Also could be some good rookies RD7 to choose from.

 

[Dark Horses]

any reason why rankine isnt on anyones radar?

Too up and down - just not consistent enough.

 

[Dark Horses]

Sexton played a half of VFL and had 23 disposals and was taken off so I wouldn't be putting a line through him just yet.

Sexton has always been a very good VFL player - just doesn't replicate it at top level.

 

[RoyalBlue]

Pink > Clothesy
McKercher > Graham

380k in the kitty for an upgrade or two next week.
Comben will be an ok pick and make some money, but at his price I'd rather trade in a $128K or less rookie, which seem abundant this year.
Not worth using a boost on.

 

[Spifflicator]

Too up and down - just not consistent enough.

He's on my radar because he is starting spend more time in the middle over the past 2 games and Laird less. The fact they won away makes me think it's likely to stay for a while. I agree that he is up and down, but if more mid time means he could lift his average up over 95 (currently 91) I think he's value.

 

[inwhiterooms]

Too up and down - just not consistent enough.

Been considering him myself this week, but worry that he had to do an awful lot to get to that 121 on the weekend. 61% CBA's, 3 goals with 21 possessions. I still think he's there and abouts for a top 6 forward slot this year. Gun to the head F1-8 if I had to guess right now. Throw a blanket over F4-8

Heeney
Flanders
Jackson
Powell
Curnow
Rankine
Bolton
Zorko

 

[BigRuss]

Couple of observations...

The quality of finished teams this year is going to be insanely good. Everywhere I look, there's either cash cows ready for sale or rookies who've just re-energized their price rise. I'm being extremely aggressive in trading just to keep up with the abundance of downgrade options we're getting. Trac Bont English Dawson Stewart Green etc. all providing low cost entries in the coming weeks will add to this. Every week I'm just hanging out for the following week to open so I can keep improving my team and see how it looks.

The only drawback - the lack of quality premium forwards is startling (I say this planning to trade Jackson next week). Doesn't even look like any DPP candidates coming. Genuinely a case of Heeney & Flanders and then the rest.

It almost feels like you need to get Shai Bolton in next week at his price. With Taranto/Hopper out and a full run at the mids, he might be one of the only decent options? I guess maybe Toby at circa 450k is pretty good.

I’m almost the polar opposite here, with the forwards being so poor were provided an opportunity to load up the other lines with stars as the differential in points from premium to rookie outside Heeney and Flanders is not likely to punish the teams with weak forward lines.

Bolton is probably at the top of the range of what you’d be comfortable paying for a guy in a bottom 2 side averaging high 90s and their fixture is pretty patchy in the short - mid term. I’d almost argue if you’re not on already you’ve missed him. Can think of half a dozen players I’d rather spend 550k on and continue rolling with Comben, Darcy and Reid filling those F4-6 spots as they appear some of the best rookies we have available at the moment.

 

[kadog]

$294 ITB

Looking at a boost trade upgrade with one of the following:

Option A: Brown> Yeo

Option B: Mass>Sheezel

Option C: Mass>Steele or Rowell

Option D: Sanders>Walsh or Flanders

 

[Feerits Elf]

The only drawback - the lack of quality premium forwards is startling (I say this planning to trade Jackson next week). Doesn't even look like any DPP candidates coming. Genuinely a case of Heeney & Flanders and then the rest.

Personally I like Tom Powell at $312k

 

[donnybuang]

Mckercher to Graham. McKerchers scoring was sliding before he got injured anyway.

Not sure what else. King has to go, but not totally sold on Comben.

 

[OnTopBar]

$294 ITB

Looking at a boost trade upgrade with one of the following:

Option A: Brown> Yeo

Option B: Mass>Sheezel

Option C: Mass>Steele or Rowell

Option D: Sanders>Walsh or Flanders


View attachment 71494 View attachment 71495 View attachment 71496

Option C for mine