Opinion Questions For Rowsus

[Rowsus]

Thanks Rowsus. How does this sound:

Round 10 - Oxley > Hodge & Tarrant > Buddy. $36,700 left. **Actually Clark might be better to trade out given his injury - Tarrant can be utilised during byes???
Round 12 - Brown > Hamling & Rocky to Lewis. ~$80K left.

Leaves me with Cripps, CEY, Miller, Saad and McIntosh as decent cash cows to work with. I count 4.5 upgrades after that. If another decent downgrade option presents during the byes then I should be able to facilitate another upgrade.

My biggest question is do I spend all that coin on Hodge or should I look at getting a cheaper option to save some money for other upgrades?

Happy to help, Bobbie.
Looks good, and even though it is overpaying for Hodge, you can probably afford to overpay for one or two Prems, as long as they are filling a high position ie D/M/R/F1-2. The cheaper player is always an option, but you'd need to look at relative difference. Will the other Prem you get, by going a cheaper option than Hodge, outscore the option you are "coupling" Hodge with? It doesn't have to be this week, but when you use the money. Maybe you could get a better Mid than Lewis with the spare change, but will that Mid outscore Lewis by more than Hodge will outscore the alternative cheaper player?
If you think you can negotiate the byes without a donut, and Clark on your bench, use Tarrant, if you think it could be tight, use Clark.

 

[Bobbie]

Happy to help, Bobbie.
Looks good, and even though it is overpaying for Hodge, you can probably afford to overpay for one or two Prems, as long as they are filling a high position ie D/M/R/F1-2. The cheaper player is always an option, but you'd need to look at relative difference. Will the other Prem you get, by going a cheaper option than Hodge, outscore the option you are "coupling" Hodge with? It doesn't have to be this week, but when you use the money. Maybe you could get a better Mid than Lewis with the spare change, but will that Mid outscore Lewis by more than Hodge will outscore the alternative cheaper player?
If you think you can negotiate the byes without a donut, and Clark on your bench, use Tarrant, if you think it could be tight, use Clark.

That's what I'm trying to weigh up. If I go Gibson instead of Hodge I get an extra $60K which means possibly getting a Hannebery / Armitage / Beams / Sidey type player instead of Lewis. Mmmmmm.....what to do!!

 

[whiteTiga2k]

That's what I'm trying to weigh up. If I go Gibson instead of Hodge I get an extra $60K which means possibly getting a Hannebery / Armitage / Beams / Sidey type player instead of Lewis. Mmmmmm.....what to do!!

Hi Bobbie

Sorry to intrude on Rowsus' thread, but as a Gibson and Lewis owner I thought I could help out. Gibson has been pretty consistent, and with Frawley and Lake, he has been doing even better, I recommend him in the team and is much more value for money than Hodgey. Gibbo is prone to a 60 game here and there though, while Hodgey will probably have a low of about 80.

One thing about Lewis is he is averaging a lot of possessions, but unlike last year, is not turning it into SC points. He's ball use this year has dropped a bit and hence scoring a lot less. If he can do what Newnes has done and improve it even so slightly, I can see him scoring very well.

If I had to decide though, I would do Gibson and a premium elite like Armatage or Beams. I just am unsure if Lewis can turn his possessions into some huge scores.

 

[Rowsus]

That's what I'm trying to weigh up. If I go Gibson instead of Hodge I get an extra $60K which means possibly getting a Hannebery / Armitage / Beams / Sidey type player instead of Lewis. Mmmmmm.....what to do!!

Hi Bobbie

Sorry to intrude on Rowsus' thread, but as a Gibson and Lewis owner I thought I could help out. Gibson has been pretty consistent, and with Frawley and Lake, he has been doing even better, I recommend him in the team and is much more value for money than Hodgey. Gibbo is prone to a 60 game here and there though, while Hodgey will probably have a low of about 80.

One thing about Lewis is he is averaging a lot of possessions, but unlike last year, is not turning it into SC points. He's ball use this year has dropped a bit and hence scoring a lot less. If he can do what Newnes has done and improve it even so slightly, I can see him scoring very well.

If I had to decide though, I would do Gibson and a premium elite like Armatage or Beams. I just am unsure if Lewis can turn his possessions into some huge scores.

No intrusion w2Tk, everybody is welcome to give opinions here!
I tend to agree. If I was going to trust Gibson to not miss games, I would prefer a Gibson/Sidebottom combo to Hodge/Lewis, Lewis does have a history of not converting possessions to points. Something that he seemed to overcome last season, but has reared it's head on a few occassions again this season. I like Sidey, and think he is potentially the number two scorer from here until the season ends.

 

[Bobbie]

Hi Bobbie

Sorry to intrude on Rowsus' thread, but as a Gibson and Lewis owner I thought I could help out. Gibson has been pretty consistent, and with Frawley and Lake, he has been doing even better, I recommend him in the team and is much more value for money than Hodgey. Gibbo is prone to a 60 game here and there though, while Hodgey will probably have a low of about 80.

One thing about Lewis is he is averaging a lot of possessions, but unlike last year, is not turning it into SC points. He's ball use this year has dropped a bit and hence scoring a lot less. If he can do what Newnes has done and improve it even so slightly, I can see him scoring very well.

If I had to decide though, I would do Gibson and a premium elite like Armatage or Beams. I just am unsure if Lewis can turn his possessions into some huge scores.

No intrusion w2Tk, everybody is welcome to give opinions here!
I tend to agree. If I was going to trust Gibson to not miss games, I would prefer a Gibson/Sidebottom combo to Hodge/Lewis, Lewis does have a history of not converting possessions to points. Something that he seemed to overcome last season, but has reared it's head on a few occassions again this season. I like Sidey, and think he is potentially the number two scorer from here until the season ends.

Big thanks to you both for the advice. I think I will go Gibson and then reassess where I can spend that extra coin. I really want to target Sidey.

 

[dyii]

Hey Rowsus,

Wondering what your thoughts were on Zac O Brien [260k]. Never been into stepping stones, but scored 86 in three quarters last week, and the SEN Inside football ratings make him sound very promising http://www.aflplayerratings.com.au/Ratings/Player/121201/Zac-O-BRIEN [99.75 ATAR!!!]. Really keen on taking a punt, just wondering if this is stupid or not.

Cheers

 

[MrMurdoch]

Hey Rowsus,

Wondering what your thoughts were on Zac O Brien [260k]. Never been into stepping stones, but scored 86 in three quarters last week, and the SEN Inside football ratings make him sound very promising http://www.aflplayerratings.com.au/Ratings/Player/121201/Zac-O-BRIEN [99.75 ATAR!!!]. Really keen on taking a punt, just wondering if this is stupid or not.

Cheers

Wow literally just came onto this thread to ask about him haha. Named in the guts this week, 100k cheaper than Wallis, I'm seriously considering taking a punt on him!

 

[sangkuriang]

Much appreciated Rowsus. Goldy is definitely in.

Plenty of thought required - will add more DPP and take a gamble or two on value in coming weeks.

 

[TeeButOne]

Rowsus,

I'd love your opinion on my replacement choices for Rockliff. At this stage, the only 2 that I'm really keen on are Sidebottom and Wines (already have Fyfe, Pendlebury, Dangerfield, Selwood, Griffen & Gray (who will swing back FWD once the opportunity arises).

Wines looks like he's stepped up again, and is great value at only $515k (averaging 115 in his 4 full games, excluding injury-affected game in R3). However, do you believe that he can justify a precious MID spot, and continue to average 110+ for the rest of the year?

On the other hand, Sidebottom REALLY looks the goods, and seems to have almost taken over from Pendlebury in many areas. Granted he's not going to increase in price this week if I don't get him, but I can see him easily being a Top 8 MID for the rest of the year. However, he's going to cost almost $100k more than Wines.

Appreciation in advance of any thoughts.

P.S. I have enough cash in the bank for either, without having to do a downgrade this week, but in saying that, can you see any justification for bringing in either Dumont or Amon? Or hold off until a couple of possible options next week?

 

[teatai]

Aye Rowsus, love your work;
would you mind giving me some insights as to who would end the season stronger;
Yeo/Mcgov & Ward/Wines
and which of them you'd prefer

ps Thanks in advance

 

[Rowsus]

Hey Rowsus,

Wondering what your thoughts were on Zac O Brien [260k]. Never been into stepping stones, but scored 86 in three quarters last week, and the SEN Inside football ratings make him sound very promising http://www.aflplayerratings.com.au/Ratings/Player/121201/Zac-O-BRIEN [99.75 ATAR!!!]. Really keen on taking a punt, just wondering if this is stupid or not.

Cheers

Wow literally just came onto this thread to ask about him haha. Named in the guts this week, 100k cheaper than Wallis, I'm seriously considering taking a punt on him!

Hey dyii and MrM,
O'Brien is an interesting one alright!
The question is, has he turned a corner, or when Redden comes back (Rnd 12?) does ZOB become a shaky JS-ed vest monster (again!)?
Does he only have short tenure, and is he one of those players that we outsiders can never see or understand why they don't get a better go at it?
I don't know the answers to those questions, and that's why I am guessing if my second trade this week will be Taylor L, Dumont or ZOB in.
For those that don't know:
O'Brien was a mature age recruit, drafted in 2014 Rookie draft (pick 23) at the age of 23.
Mature age Rookie generally says to me "limited room for improvement".
He played 5 games last season, with an average TOG% of 54% and a SC of 61. (SC/100%TOG 113 - very good for a Rookie, you usually hope for something in the 90-100 area.) Has played 2 games this season. Rnd 2 14 possessions 61%TOG 68 SC, Rnd 9 18 possessions 70% TOG 87 SC.
We can see he is maintaining a consistent SC/100%TOG (118 so far this season), and has a B/E of 2. The 2 questions still remain. Will he play enough games, and get enough minutes, in the coming weeks to justify a trade in?
I know Brisbane have got an amazingly long injury list right now, but I'm just worried we might only see 1.5 games from ZOB, and then he disappears again!
I'm still undecided between the 3 of them.

 

[Rowsus]

Rowsus,

I'd love your opinion on my replacement choices for Rockliff. At this stage, the only 2 that I'm really keen on are Sidebottom and Wines (already have Fyfe, Pendlebury, Dangerfield, Selwood, Griffen & Gray (who will swing back FWD once the opportunity arises).

Wines looks like he's stepped up again, and is great value at only $515k (averaging 115 in his 4 full games, excluding injury-affected game in R3). However, do you believe that he can justify a precious MID spot, and continue to average 110+ for the rest of the year?

On the other hand, Sidebottom REALLY looks the goods, and seems to have almost taken over from Pendlebury in many areas. Granted he's not going to increase in price this week if I don't get him, but I can see him easily being a Top 8 MID for the rest of the year. However, he's going to cost almost $100k more than Wines.

Appreciation in advance of any thoughts.

P.S. I have enough cash in the bank for either, without having to do a downgrade this week, but in saying that, can you see any justification for bringing in either Dumont or Amon? Or hold off until a couple of possible options next week?

TBO,
if cash is no problem, not just this week, but in the next 5 weeks, as you strive to complete your team, then I believe sidey is the man. I have a big opinion of him, and believe he could fill M2 until the end of the season. If cash is potentially a problem, I would go Wines. If in doubt, you need to err on the side of caution, and take Wines.
As to getting Dumont/Amon, look at your current Rookie stock. If you have enough value in your current stock to facilitate your team completion you can afford to miss them, if not, you should consider one of them. Work on between $625-$675k of Rookie stock per upgrade, allowing for a one up/one down scenario.
If you end up even contemplating that you need Dumont/Amon, then I recommend you get Wines over Sidey.

 

[Rowsus]

Aye Rowsus, love your work;
would you mind giving me some insights as to who would end the season stronger;
Yeo/Mcgov & Ward/Wines
and which of them you'd prefer

ps Thanks in advance

Hej teetai, thanks for the kind words.
I would rate Yeo to finish in front of McG, but not necessarily by a big margin.
I think Ward is struggling a bit under "weight of numbers" at GWS, and therefore would choose Wines over him.
I hope that helps.

 

[The Experiment]

Hi Rowsus, hope life is treating you well

Wondering what your thoughts are on the trio of Boston, Amon and Dumont...I want to bring one in this week, who do you think has the best job security? Byes aren't a factor...

Thanks in advance

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus, hope life is treating you well

Wondering what your thoughts are on the trio of Boston, Amon and Dumont...I want to bring one in this week, who do you think has the best job security? Byes aren't a factor...

Thanks in advance

Hi TE,
life's ok, I hope yours is too.
My thoughts would be Amon, Dumont, Boston in that order for JS.
Amon appears to have less threats out injured to tip him back out of the team.

 

[The Experiment]

Hi TE,
life's ok, I hope yours is too.
My thoughts would be Amon, Dumont, Boston in that order for JS.
Amon appears to have less threats out injured to tip him back out of the team.

Thanks Rowsus, much appreciated

 

[MrMurdoch]

Hey dyii and MrM,
O'Brien is an interesting one alright!
The question is, has he turned a corner, or when Redden comes back (Rnd 12?) does ZOB become a shaky JS-ed vest monster (again!)?
Does he only have short tenure, and is he one of those players that we outsiders can never see or understand why they don't get a better go at it?
I don't know the answers to those questions, and that's why I am guessing if my second trade this week will be Taylor L, Dumont or ZOB in.
For those that don't know:
O'Brien was a mature age recruit, drafted in 2014 Rookie draft (pick 23) at the age of 23.
Mature age Rookie generally says to me "limited room for improvement".
He played 5 games last season, with an average TOG% of 54% and a SC of 61. (SC/100%TOG 113 - very good for a Rookie, you usually hope for something in the 90-100 area.) Has played 2 games this season. Rnd 2 14 possessions 61%TOG 68 SC, Rnd 9 18 possessions 70% TOG 87 SC.
We can see he is maintaining a consistent SC/100%TOG (118 so far this season), and has a B/E of 2. The 2 questions still remain. Will he play enough games, and get enough minutes, in the coming weeks to justify a trade in?
I know Brisbane have got an amazingly long injury list right now, but I'm just worried we might only see 1.5 games from ZOB, and then he disappears again!
I'm still undecided between the 3 of them.

Gee it's a tough decision to make, especially given the lack of data we've got on him. I think given his form in the NEAFL since that bust-up with Leppitch, along with his performance on the weekend in 3 quarters, along with the fact he's been named in the guts this week, has me thinking I'll pick him up for Cripps. Could be a master stroke, or could go horribly wrong!

Thanks for your input Rowsus, and good luck whichever way you decide to go this week.

 

[Goodie's Guns]

TBO,
if cash is no problem, not just this week, but in the next 5 weeks, as you strive to complete your team, then I believe sidey is the man. I have a big opinion of him, and believe he could fill M2 until the end of the season. If cash is potentially a problem, I would go Wines. If in doubt, you need to err on the side of caution, and take Wines.
As to getting Dumont/Amon, look at your current Rookie stock. If you have enough value in your current stock to facilitate your team completion you can afford to miss them, if not, you should consider one of them. Work on between $625-$675k of Rookie stock per upgrade, allowing for a one up/one down scenario.
If you end up even contemplating that you need Dumont/Amon, then I recommend you get Wines over Sidey.

Thanks for that reply to TBO, I was just about to ask a very similar question myself.
Sidebottom in my main midfield target, and with Rocky going down and a number of other issues I am trying to figure out what i'll do with my trades this week to firstly avoid a donut, but stick to my plan as much as possible. My plan involves waiting until round 13 to get Sidey, because my teams going to battle enough as it is through round 12.

I had also planned to avoid getting on Hamling early, but now looking at it I might well be required to get him this week to then have playing in DEF (Hamling vs. Hugh Goddard if selected) to avoid a donut which is not ideal.

Anyway here are the options I have come up with so far, if you get time to have a look I'd love your opinion.

Option 1
IN - Simpson, Hamling (via McKenzie DPP)
OUT - Oxley, Rockliff
$398,400
* 2 of Hamling, KMac, Goddard (if selected) need to be on field, Amon on field in the MIDs

Option 2
Round 10
IN - Simpson, Wines
OUT - Oxley, Rockliff
$7,800
* Amon on bench, Hugh Goddard must play and be on field, no cover in DEF either

Option 3
IN - Simpson, Robinson (via McKenzie DPP)
OUT - Oxley, Rockliff
$398,400
* JS issues with Robinson, play him or Amon, no DEF cover, require Hugh Goddard to play and be on field

Option 4
IN - Simpson, Boston (via McKenzie DPP)
OUT - Oxley, Rockliff
$397,700
* Boston JS better than Robinson, howvever another round 12 donut, play him or Amon, no DEF cover, require Hugh Goddard to play and be on field


Sorry for it being so long, just needed to put it down to get my head around the options lol

 

[Monya Meow Meow]

Hi Rowsus, just wondering what are your thoughts on a certain Brent Harvey? Haven't seen much talk about him.
I know his age (37) may be an issue but is he playing a different role compared to last season?
Can you see him putting up numbers from here on that is worthy of a F6/M9 position? And how would you rate him in comparison to Dayne Zorko?
Thanks mate!

 

[Slammer]

Hey Rowsus,

Hope you can get back to me prior to lockout.
Once again I have copped it with Rocky. Thats twice this season
Yes I think he has to go but he will not lose cash this week. I also have Oxley and Miller who will now start to leak cash.
How do you see Oxley and Miller from here? Do you think Oxley just had a bad week last week? Miller now has a tough run.
Both though have done ok up untill now and made us cash.
If I offload both Oxley and Miller this week for Hamling and Lewis then it becomes risky with no mid and def bench cover.
However getting rid of Krak and Rocky I keep cover although Oxley and Miller will leak cash.
I guess having bench cover (avoiding donut) is better than Oxley and Miller leaking a little cash.
Could also offload Clark instead of Krak so I keep my mid/fwd link.
It looks like my bye round 12 is the one where I will struggle hence the reason I am looking at Lewis but still not sold on him (but who else is there - Any suggestions)

cheers Slammer