2015: Premium Rucks

Which premium rucks will be in your side come lockout in 2015?


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After reading KLo's thread about Top 30, there is 90%+ certainty that a top 2 ruck comes from outside the top 10. Am i confident it'll be Leuie? not entirely but it's given me some confidence to choose him and cop the whack if necessary. He was a corrective trade for me last year and if he has to be a stepping stone, or traded early again, so be it. I have Goldy at R1 so it's a minor risk, Leuie at R2 but it certainly makes the rest of my team look great.
I've got the Goldstein-Leuenberger combo too. I doubt Leuenberger will be a R2 for the season but I expect him to generate about 150k, which makes him a viable mid-priced cashcow.

Last season I traded Sandilands in his round 10 bye week for Goldstein and made a 70k profit after he started 300k behind. Leuenberger and Jacobs are 262k apart and I reckon Jacobs could drop to 550k and Leuenberger rise to 500k, which (if correct) would make him worth starting over Jacobs. Only problem is they have the same bye round so there is no initial extra point advantage that I got for my trade last season.
I've gone Jacobs - Luey so a similar thought process, i think you can afford to take a bit of a risk on the R2 when you're grabbing what you believe is a rolled gold top 2 ruckman - although maybe i've got my Crows tinted glasses on but i did start with Goldy last year and he seemed like a bit of a slow starter - don't forget last year he took 8 rounds to crack a ton! Hoping he has another slow start this year as he's definitely penciled in as a upgrade target.
 
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Are those punters who are going for Jacobs at R1 starting O'Brien in at R3? will he come in if Jacobs misses a game?

I looked at going Mumford, R2, then Phillips at R3 but he is about $210k from memory so was effectively spending $820k on my r1. Saved a trade though in the case of a late out for Mumford (then provided Phillips is the one who comes in).
 
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I've gone Jacobs - Luey so a similar thought process, i think you can afford to take a bit of a risk on the R2 when you're grabbing what you believe is a rolled gold top 2 ruckman - although maybe i've got my Crows tinted glasses on but i did start with Goldy last year and he seemed like a bit of a slow starter - don't forget last year he took 8 rounds to crack a ton! Hoping he has another slow start this year as he's definitely penciled in as a upgrade target.
Goldstein was carrying an injury at the start of last season, I believe.
 
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Not sure yet between Goldy and Mumford and coping 4 rookie mids on the field and 3 rookie forwards or Goldy and Luenburger/Lycett and upgrading one of Salem/Hogan to Bonts/Ziebell
 

DeliciousJedi

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Still prepared to back Leuey or NicNat here but feeling that it can only be one and then need Goldie or Mummy for the other ruck. It's also dependent on the GAJ question too.
 

darkshines

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Someone pls talk me out of Stef Martin.

Main reason being hes the ultimate POD (or negative POD) - NO ONE has him.

Unbelievable preseason.

Great on deck and around the ground and as fwd when resting, so arguably less impacted by score changes than other elite rucks.

Team will be 4 goals better.

Only downside is Berger.

But seriously, the coin i have from Naitanui / Martin doesnt change my structure (not enough to conjure another keeper).

I feel sick ... lolz
 
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Got a curious question... Having seen Mumford in what seems to be a lot of teams...

For those that are selecting him, Do you have any reason to believe he will play more than 19 games?

In 7 seasons he has never played more than 19 games and if you take away his rookie season in which he played only 3 games, the remaining 6 seasons he has missed an average of 6 games per season.

Just curious seeing a guy that will likely miss multiple games end up in so many teams. Is it his high ceiling that is got people selecting him? or am i missing something?
 
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Got a curious question... Having seen Mumford in what seems to be a lot of teams...

For those that are selecting him, Do you have any reason to believe he will play more than 19 games?

In 7 seasons he has never played more than 19 games and if you take away his rookie season in which he played only 3 games, the remaining 6 seasons he has missed an average of 6 games per season.

Just curious seeing a guy that will likely miss multiple games end up in so many teams. Is it his high ceiling that is got people selecting him? or am i missing something?
I don't have him, but my belief is that people expect him to pump out some monster scores in the first 6 rounds or so due to a soft draw. They may then be planning to trade to another ruck and take some cash out of the trade.
 

mproust

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Someone pls talk me out of Stef Martin.

Main reason being hes the ultimate POD (or negative POD) - NO ONE has him.

Unbelievable preseason.

Great on deck and around the ground and as fwd when resting, so arguably less impacted by score changes than other elite rucks.

Team will be 4 goals better.

Only downside is Berger.

But seriously, the coin i have from Naitanui / Martin doesnt change my structure (not enough to conjure another keeper).

I feel sick ... lolz
Those are all the reasons I was looking at him, and I think he will do better than a lot of people think. I don't think Berger will impact his scoring too much because a lot of his points come from ground level work and he has set himself clearly as the number 1 ruck. Plus you will get the games against St Kilda at the Gabba where he will go off and score 150s. They have a fairly easy draw and I see him averaging 105-110. To me the question is can you find someone cheaper than him who may score around that mark, and I think Maric may be that person, without the added risk of Berger's presence. Saving 70k is pretty attractive to me but then again Martin will be a huge POD and I think if he pays off you will be well ahead. And to be honest I don't think it is all that much of a risk because if he doesn't pay off, you can downgrade him to a Maric or Nic Nat before the price drop in rd3. We should know by rd 2 (Collingwood first, then Kangas) whether he will be any good.
 
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Got a curious question... Having seen Mumford in what seems to be a lot of teams...

For those that are selecting him, Do you have any reason to believe he will play more than 19 games?

In 7 seasons he has never played more than 19 games and if you take away his rookie season in which he played only 3 games, the remaining 6 seasons he has missed an average of 6 games per season.

Just curious seeing a guy that will likely miss multiple games end up in so many teams. Is it his high ceiling that is got people selecting him? or am i missing something?
I think most people are looking at his soft draw for the first 6 rounds or so and then cash him in before he gets injured.
Imagine trading Mummy out for Jacobs/Goldy + cash!
Of course that's the assumption he doesn't get injured before round 6 :p
 
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I think most people are looking at his soft draw for the first 6 rounds or so and then cash him in before he gets injured.
Imagine trading Mummy out for Jacobs/Goldy + cash!
Of course that's the assumption he doesn't get injured before round 6 :p
It's also an assumption that they will score enough to make money, which is no guarantee either.
 
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It's also an assumption that they will score enough to make money, which is no guarantee either.
If he averages 140 each week, he will gain $60k to $673 by Round 6
If he averages 120 each week, he will lose $11k to $602 by Round 6
 

Philzsay

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FYI According to a regular watcher at Essendon training today Tom Bellchambers was a 'Standout'.
 
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FYI According to a regular watcher at Essendon training today Tom Bellchambers was a 'Standout'.
What are your thoughts Philzsay on his body holding up for at least the first half of the season especially considering his injury history and games missed?
 

Philzsay

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What are your thoughts Philzsay on his body holding up for at least the first half of the season especially considering his injury history and games missed?
I've been to a few training sessions as well this summer and I have been impressed each time I've seen him. He is very much at full 100% fitness and if his body doesn't hold up this year it never will. Going out on a limb here I think his body will hold up at least until the byes. But I certainly wouldn't wager any money on it!

I still probably won't pick him as I don't think he can improve enough to become a top 2, or even top 5 SC ruckman of the competition. However for those who are considering him as part of the R/F coverage plan there has been nothing at training to suggest he won't perform at his best this year.
 
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