Opinion Questions For Rowsus

[Adrenaline]

Hi row
Thanks for your advice last week. To be honest I didn't come to a conclusion but I appreciate your thoughts.

Adelaide draw is fairly easy. Who would you chose out of Sloane or Selwood to average the highest from now until the end?

Also I am not sure if I should spend 100k to bring docherty or take a risk on jj? We don't have much info about jj but he looked really good in the first few weeks. There are obviously a lot of unknowns about jj but is he worth the risk?

Thanks row.

 

[Junior Wölf]

Hey Rowsus,

I would love to hear your thoughts on my kind of crazy trading plan.

I have Barlow and although he is on a bye right now, I think it would be best to bring in a player this week for an extra scoring player. With Barlow still in my team, I have 19 scoring players - Adams and Menadue the two suspect scorers. My idea is to trade Barlow to Tom Lynch (GCS) which puts $165,800 in my bank (along with $32,000 already there). I like Gold Coasts run home and although they won't make finals, they have St Kilda, Brisbane, Fremantle, Melbourne, Essendon, Collingwood and Port Adelaide (with Bulldogs and GWS as the only two top 8 teams).

The money I gain from this "downgrade" can be used to upgrade Brodie Smith to Heath Shaw BUT I could do this trade this week (which is stupid to lose a scoring player for a bye player), after the bye rounds have finished, or once Shaw has played and dropped in price once more. My only worry with trading Smith out next week is that he will drop in price (although I have no idea of Brodie's BE).

Or should I just go Barlow to Zorko/Lids and save a trade on Brodie to Shaw

Thanks for the future

 

[TopGrizzly]

Hi Rowsus,

My team value has improved so much and i owe it all to this forum! Well done guys

- 10 trades remaining
- 18 playing this week
- 9 Rookies (Adams, S. Collins, Tucker, Stewart, Mills, Trengove, Jansen, Petracca, Phillips), probably keeping Adams.

A couple of options I have considered:
<hr></hr>Option 1:

<hr></hr>Option 2:

<hr></hr>

Initial thoughts:

• Hall is a gamble, but he's cheap and i need value.
• I would prefer to trade in Sam Mitchell over Pendlebury, but Hawks have a bye this week. Open to other suggestions.
• If I trade in any more rookies, I won't have any trades to upgrade them. (They'd be bench cover)
• Tucker out instead of Dempsey? I feel Tucker has more money to make (as with most of my rookies)

A win in my league this round would be monumental for me. All thoughts & opinions appreciated.
Team: http://supercoach.heraldsun.com.au/afl/classic/other_teams/?tid=140872

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowan,
I plan on upgrading Adams to either Simpson or Rance this week to complete my team leaving 5 trades. My question is Simpson leaves 3K whereas Rance leaves 50k in the bank. The better option appears to be something in the bank for the inevitable. What do you think.
Slainte!

I'm not Rowsus, but I'd go Simpson. More consistent, more reliable. I brought in Rance this week as my F6, and I'm already wondering what I was thinking.

Yeah I'm probably thinking the same as I couldn't put Rance as my F6 no matter how I tried haha!

Hi Keith,
congratulations on the season so far. Good to see you up so high in the rankings, again!
Personally, I don't think there is a lot of difference between what we can expect from Rance or Simpson for the remainder of the season. If you think there is an advantage to be had in Rance and $50k, and I can understand your logic in that, then go that way. However, if you believe Simspon to be a superior pick to Rance, then I would go with Simpson and the lower amount of money, and let your remaining trades be the cushion. A complete team with 5 trades left is a lot better situation than many high ranked coaches will be facing!
Good luck, I hope the good run continues.

 

[Rowsus]

I should have read lower down!

Agree Simpson is the better option, but my question really is, 3k leaves nothing or Rance, (perhaps Pittard) leaving 58k to manoeuvre with.

I reckon Simpson is 10ppg better than Rance...I'd take that (if you agree) and gamble that you can sideways an injured player later with your 3k. Don't forget, there are still a lot of cheap premiums around, or coming back: Johannisen, Rance, Dahlhaus, Parker, R Gray, Priddis, Franklin...all lines covered.

Points on the field trumps cover options. Especially while you have 5 trades left after this upgrade, you should build the team you want, with the comfort of knowing that trades are as a good cover as ench players, most times.

 

[Rowsus]

Hey Row,

I'm tempted to trade out Danger this week and am considering Hannebery as his replacement, netting close to 200k. My question for you is: Do you see the merit in this idea, and is there anything that would suggest for me to stay away from Hanners? I currently have 9 trades remaining, and need to make at least 1 to avoid a donut this week. 72k in the bank as it stands. The cash from Danger added to my own would give me 250k to spend elsewhere, taking me one step closer to completion.

My team:

Def: Shaw, Rance, Williams, McVeigh, Laird, DBJ (Collins, Brand)
Mids: Danger, Pendles, Selwood, GAJ, JPK, Ward, Gray, Kerridge (Davis, Trengove, Mathieson)
Ruck: Goldy, Gawn (Goetz)
Fwd: Zorko, Montagna, Greene, Barlow, Westhoff, Hall (Rose, Menadue)

*Underlined 13 definitely won't be playing this week, leaving me with 17.

My planned trades:
Danger --> Hannebery (182k+73k bank = 255k)
Davis --> Phillips (187k+255k bank = 442k)
DBJ/Brand --> Prem defender OR Finish mids

My only concern with finishing my mid is that Danger won't be part of it

What do you suggest?

Hey MCM,
I believe there can definitely be some merit in trading Dangerfield out, as you probably read in the trade thread.
It's tough question of whether you close a POD against you, by taking Hannebery, or open a POD against others, by taking someone like Steven. There's no easy answer to that one. It comes down to your goals, and what risks you are willing to take.
For your last trade, I would be looking at DBJ to Simpson. This leaves you lots of cash left, if you need an escape route of Hall to Dangerfield down the track.
Good luck, I hope it works out, if you take the risk.

 

[Rowsus]

Rowsus, my team is as follows with the bolded players playing Rd 15.

D: Shaw, Simpson, Bartel, Rich, Rance, Laird (Ruggles, Collins)
M: Danger, Pendles, GAJ, Libba, Priddis, Gray, Kerridge, Trengove, (Selwood, Jansen, MacPherson)
R: Gawn, Goldy (Loersch)
F: Dusty, Zerrett, Wells, Hall, Petracca, Menadue (Barlow, Papley)

I have 14 trades left with 185k in the bank. I'm currently experiencing some paralysis analysis with the following options.

Before trades this week I have 16 playing.

Option A - 3 trades made for 18 playing

Libba to Montagna via Petracca
Papley to Phillips
Ruggles to Mcveigh

This will leave me with approximately 236k allowing me to upgrade Kerridge to Hanners/Neale in Round 16.

Option B - 2 trades for 17 playing

Papley to Phillips
Libba to Monty via Petracca.

Option A leaves me with 374K allowing both Petracca/Kerridge to be upgraded to Neale/Hanners in Round 16 finishing off my midfield. Option B will allow Ruggles to keep mooing and the aim is to upgrade him to Docherty hopefully in time. Is McVeigh going to be a good defender option from this point on? If so, I can trade him in and trade Rich to Docherty and use Mcveigh as cover (he is at his cheapest this week I think).

Thoughts?

lmcjb,
with 14 trades left, you are in a position most coaches here would envy.
To me it is clearly option A, and get 18 on the park this week!
One of the reasons you've been careful with your trades, is to protect against donuts. You may as well start that protection now, while also doing some useful upgrades.
Good luck.

 

[Courtesans]

Thanks Rowan.

 

[Imcjb]

lmcjb,
with 14 trades left, you are in a position most coaches here would envy.
To me it is clearly option A, and get 18 on the park this week!
One of the reasons you've been careful with your trades, is to protect against donuts. You may as well start that protection now, while also doing some useful upgrades.
Good luck.

Thanks for your input mate, much appreciated.

 

[MC's Mix]

Thanks mate, i'll let you know when I make my decision!

 

[Rowsus]

Hi row
Thanks for your advice last week. To be honest I didn't come to a conclusion but I appreciate your thoughts.

Adelaide draw is fairly easy. Who would you chose out of Sloane or Selwood to average the highest from now until the end?

Also I am not sure if I should spend 100k to bring docherty or take a risk on jj? We don't have much info about jj but he looked really good in the first few weeks. There are obviously a lot of unknowns about jj but is he worth the risk?

Thanks row.

Hi ad,
based on the information below, I think Selwood (114-119) will average higher, but Sloane (109-115) will score more points, due to having already played his bye.

It appears Selwood needs 5+ goal wins on Simonds or Etihad to post Captain worthy scores. There appears to be only 2 games we can be confident he might do that. Sloane seems to be a home body, that scores well in home wins. He has 2 or 3 games where we can be confident he can score well. It Selwoods ability to get on 130+ runs that Places him in front of sloane, imo.

As to the JJ vs Docherty conundrum, if you have the Cash, without being too stretched, I'd go Docherty. We can't be sure if JJ was just on a hot streak, and we can't be sure of how he will return, and in exactly which role. Both are a risk, but docherty seems less so.

 

[Rowsus]

Hey Rowsus,

I would love to hear your thoughts on my kind of crazy trading plan.

I have Barlow and although he is on a bye right now, I think it would be best to bring in a player this week for an extra scoring player. With Barlow still in my team, I have 19 scoring players - Adams and Menadue the two suspect scorers. My idea is to trade Barlow to Tom Lynch (GCS) which puts $165,800 in my bank (along with $32,000 already there). I like Gold Coasts run home and although they won't make finals, they have St Kilda, Brisbane, Fremantle, Melbourne, Essendon, Collingwood and Port Adelaide (with Bulldogs and GWS as the only two top 8 teams).

The money I gain from this "downgrade" can be used to upgrade Brodie Smith to Heath Shaw BUT I could do this trade this week (which is stupid to lose a scoring player for a bye player), after the bye rounds have finished, or once Shaw has played and dropped in price once more. My only worry with trading Smith out next week is that he will drop in price (although I have no idea of Brodie's BE).

Or should I just go Barlow to Zorko/Lids and save a trade on Brodie to Shaw

Thanks for the future

Hey JW,
Brodie Smith $385,000 B/E 119
It's a little hard to answer this question, as there are things like trades left, upgrades needed to be made, strength of coverage and number of trades you'd like to have left, that need to be factored into a decision like this.

If you are running short of trades, and potentially cash, to complete your team, then the Lynch option is definitely a viable one. I traded him in last week, and I'm comfortable with him.
If you don't need to pull some fancy moves to complete your team, and you really rate Zorko/Lids well above Lynch, then probably go that route, I think.
Good luck, which ever way you jump.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus,

My team value has improved so much and i owe it all to this forum! Well done guys

- 10 trades remaining
- 18 playing this week
- 9 Rookies (Adams, S. Collins, Tucker, Stewart, Mills, Trengove, Jansen, Petracca, Phillips), probably keeping Adams.

A couple of options I have considered:
<hr></hr>Option 1:
View attachment 1532
<hr></hr>Option 2:
View attachment 1533
<hr></hr>

Initial thoughts:

• Hall is a gamble, but he's cheap and i need value.
• I would prefer to trade in Sam Mitchell over Pendlebury, but Hawks have a bye this week. Open to other suggestions.
• If I trade in any more rookies, I won't have any trades to upgrade them. (They'd be bench cover)
• Tucker out instead of Dempsey? I feel Tucker has more money to make (as with most of my rookies)

A win in my league this round would be monumental for me. All thoughts & opinions appreciated.
Team: http://supercoach.heraldsun.com.au/afl/classic/other_teams/?tid=140872

Hey TG,
nice score last week, and a good jump up the rankings. Well done!
You currently have 15 Prems, and 2 Midpricers (Crouch and Libba) you might end up keeping.
With 10 trades you are going to struggle to complete your team with a strong 22, so you need to keep looking for value. Unfortunately, for every Pendlebury you pick, you will end up with a rookie/poor selection in your final starting 22. I don't think Hall is an option. He's at the sort of price you need, but not in the sort of form you want.
I think you have something like $116,200 in the bank.
Tucker may not grow a lot more, but also isn't at a price we can work with this week. None of your Round 15 Rookies look like they can or should be traded out this week: Tucker, Collins, Jansen, Stewart. It looks like you might have the bare 18 players, if selection falls your way.
I'd be going:
Dempsey to Yeo (cost $64,800) - he's not a genuine Prem, but he is underpriced.
Mills to Gaff (cost $12,200) - should give you around 20/week more than Mills, for virtually no money cost.
Petracca or Kerridge to Lynch (GC) - if you think you might be trading Kerridge at some stage, use him, otherwise use Petracca.
If selection doesn't fall your way, I'll try and come up with some alternative trades.
Good luck

 

[Mr_Arrogance]

Gday Rowsus,

I have been in hibernation for a while and have come out for your help. After spending most of the season ranked outside the top 30,000 I have come into 6,000 with a PROBABLY unrealistic hope of closing in on the top 1000.

I have 17 on field this week before any trades. I have 10 trades remaining and $235,000 in the bank. My team is as follows

Def: Shaw, Doch, Bartel, Rance, Laird, Smith (Collins, Tucker)
Mids: Danger, Ablett, Pendles, Selwood, Priddis, Rocky, Gray, Libba (Trengove, Jansen, Macpherson)
Ruck: Gawn, Martin (Currie)
Fwd: Dusty, Wells, Zerrett, Barlow, Montagna, Hall (Menadue, Phillips)

Some of the options that I am considering is ,
1. go hard. Smith to Simpson/Mcveigh, Libba to Hannebery which still hasnt improved my 17 on field and then Barlow to Deledio. 57k left in bank(is simpson worth the 90k over mcveigh?)

2. create some dpp. Same two first trades but then trade macpherson to Joyce to give flexibilty for later in season. 57k left in bank. I am leaning towards this option!

3. just one trade of macpherson to Joyce and hope there is mass carnage towards end of season that my remaining 9 trades will jump me massively in last two rounds


Either way that I go i will still be trying hard to get menadue or phillips into the mids for more dpp.
P.S After watching the last quarter of GC game I am hoping Hall wont be a liabilty in the fwds but if he is will become Dahlhaus in a few weeks

Hope that you have the time to give me your opinion and your thoughts.

Cheers

 

[Junior Wölf]

Hey JW,
Brodie Smith $385,000 B/E 119
It's a little hard to answer this question, as there are things like trades left, upgrades needed to be made, strength of coverage and number of trades you'd like to have left, that need to be factored into a decision like this.

If you are running short of trades, and potentially cash, to complete your team, then the Lynch option is definitely a viable one. I traded him in last week, and I'm comfortable with him.
If you don't need to pull some fancy moves to complete your team, and you really rate Zorko/Lids well above Lynch, then probably go that route, I think.
Good luck, which ever way you jump.

Thanks for the reply Rowsus. It is tough. I am just sick to death of Brodie Smith at the moment. Trading in Tom Lynch/Shaw I guess is an aggressive trade move as I will only have 4 trades left after that. I am going for placing. I will have decent coverage with Adams at D7 who can swing between forward and defence for a week off for any premo.

 

[SC academy player]

Hi Rowsus, thanks for your work I've read through many pages here and find your research and conclusions very inspiring, I appreciate it. My question is who scores more from here.. Deledio or Merrett? Thanks.
(May have left my question a bit late with Ess lockout tonight in 7.5 hrs, so apologies and understand if you don't get to this in time.)

 

[t.thomas6]

Hi Rowsus, thanks for your work I've read through many pages here and find your research and conclusions very inspiring, I appreciate it. My question is who scores more from here.. Deledio or Merrett? Thanks.
(May have left my question a bit late with Ess lockout tonight in 7.5 hrs, so apologies and understand if you don't get to this in time.)

FWIW - I think Lids is as low (price wise) as he's going to get. Merrett has almost peaked in that department.
I'd take Lids and if he gets injured you can always sideways to Merrett

 

[SC academy player]

FWIW - I think Lids is as low (price wise) as he's going to get. Merrett has almost peaked in that department.
I'd take Lids and if he gets injured you can always sideways to Merrett

I'm trying to avoid any potential sideways as I only have 4 trades left! Pretty bad I know. I guess should have mentioned that. As it is, I'm already holding an injured Dahlhaus. But yes I agree about Lids & Merrett prices.

 

[Rowsus]

Gday Rowsus,

I have been in hibernation for a while and have come out for your help. After spending most of the season ranked outside the top 30,000 I have come into 6,000 with a PROBABLY unrealistic hope of closing in on the top 1000.

I have 17 on field this week before any trades. I have 10 trades remaining and $235,000 in the bank. My team is as follows

Def: Shaw, Doch, Bartel, Rance, Laird, Smith (Collins, Tucker)
Mids: Danger, Ablett, Pendles, Selwood, Priddis, Rocky, Gray, Libba (Trengove, Jansen, Macpherson)
Ruck: Gawn, Martin (Currie)
Fwd: Dusty, Wells, Zerrett, Barlow, Montagna, Hall (Menadue, Phillips)

Some of the options that I am considering is ,
1. go hard. Smith to Simpson/Mcveigh, Libba to Hannebery which still hasnt improved my 17 on field and then Barlow to Deledio. 57k left in bank(is simpson worth the 90k over mcveigh?)

2. create some dpp. Same two first trades but then trade macpherson to Joyce to give flexibilty for later in season. 57k left in bank. I am leaning towards this option!

3. just one trade of macpherson to Joyce and hope there is mass carnage towards end of season that my remaining 9 trades will jump me massively in last two rounds


Either way that I go i will still be trying hard to get menadue or phillips into the mids for more dpp.
P.S After watching the last quarter of GC game I am hoping Hall wont be a liabilty in the fwds but if he is will become Dahlhaus in a few weeks

Hope that you have the time to give me your opinion and your thoughts.

Cheers

Gday Mr_A, welcome back!
Nice fight back in the rankings!
I like option 1, with McVeigh. I can't see $90k difference in Simpson and McVeigh.
There will be time down the track to open your DPP's. I don't like Joyce as an option, as he believe he has weak JS, and will end up a FD anyway. If you are going to get a FD, you may as well get one suited to the job, and that would be Josh Clayton of Brisbane. GC's Draw isn't as good as Brisanes for a FD, with added twist, that Clayton would be some chance of getting picked soon!
Good luck, I think you might have my measure in SCS04 this week.

 

[Rowsus]

Hi Rowsus, thanks for your work I've read through many pages here and find your research and conclusions very inspiring, I appreciate it. My question is who scores more from here.. Deledio or Merrett? Thanks.
(May have left my question a bit late with Ess lockout tonight in 7.5 hrs, so apologies and understand if you don't get to this in time.)

FWIW - I think Lids is as low (price wise) as he's going to get. Merrett has almost peaked in that department.
I'd take Lids and if he gets injured you can always sideways to Merrett

I'm trying to avoid any potential sideways as I only have 4 trades left! Pretty bad I know. I guess should have mentioned that. As it is, I'm already holding an injured Dahlhaus. But yes I agree about Lids & Merrett prices.

Hi SCap, happy to have helped.
I believe Deledio might just pip Zerrett for average from here, but in your situation, I'd be going Zerrett.
You might sacrifice a small amount in score, but should gain in reliability to get on the park. When you have so few trades left, you want every player you trade in, to get on the park every week, and we can't be sure of that with Deledio.