I don’t understand how he’s a good pick, it’s a coin flip whether he comes out and plays well or plays poorly based on which run of form he chooses.
Even if you picked him in 2017, his best year where he averaged 92, you probably would have traded him after Round 5 after he’d averaged 69 in the first 5 games. The same year he also averaged 71 in 4 weeks between rounds 15-18.
We all know how he started 2018.
I’d prefer to pick him as a risk if he gets absurdly cheap knowing that his form could turn around but I would not start him.