For me it's not so much them being the top 2, it's more are they likely to back it up and be worth the money? If one of them puts up a still very respectable 120 but NN is going at 100 then what do we make of that? 240k for an extra 20 points isn't good business.
That extra cash can turn a forward rookie into Jack Steven for example.
But this is exactly what everyone said last year and then both Gawn and Grundy backed it up.
Now with an extra year of premium scoring we are questioning again whether they can both back it up.
It’s not Just 20 points, Its potentially 20ppg plus any additional C/VC bonus and I’d probably guess last season I would’ve used Grundy or Gawn for close to 90% of captains scores. Then it’s the trades and cash generation needed if they do indeed maintain a 130 average and then it’s cover needed when NN misses games.
I just feel this exact same argument comes up every preseason.
What if? Could’ve? Should’ve? It’s still a game of probability for me, very simple, make decisions based on what we know and not what we hope.
Just me though. It’s easier for me to justify and accept this decision even if it doesn’t work then to go the other way and it fail.