No talk at all about Toby Greene, and I can understand the probable reasons why. At his best he's easily top 3-4 FWD and finished last year in a blaze at 111.7 for his last 9 matches. At 26 yo has he finally reached a level of maturity that will keep his worst impulses under control on the field ? I love him as a footballer and inevitably find myself putting him in my team as a starter more often than not. You take the good with the bad when it comes to Toby but the main concern for me is his dispersion of scores. He rarely gets scores in the 90s, they are either putrid (for him) sub 90s efforts or big tons. It's never boring that's for sure but I see him as possibly a better starter than Dusty who is almost always slow off the blocks and therefore a R8-10 upgrade target. Anyone else thinking about Toby ?
I just don't see any good risk versus reward in picking him.
The massive scores from last year were due to the midfield time he got due to injuries to Ward, Cogs, JKelly and even Matt De Boer. With those guys not injured he will get very little mid time and will play his half-forward flank role.
If he's playing his usual role in the team and he's fit and flying he's going to average between 90-100. That's if he's fit and flying and he's often injured and/or suspended.
To me you're basically paying about as much as his upside as a fit half-forward or only a little bit less because he's priced at 93avg, with the potential for things to go completely wrong. Not something I'd be doing.
If injuries occur to some of the GWS midfield as seems to happen pretty often I think he becomes a pretty relevant trade in target.
Also his history of being a 90-100 avg type player as a half-forward only lasted about 1.5 years, generally these players, like key forwards, struggle to have sustained success. I.e. Billings averaged 93 for a year playing a half-forward role and then fell apart as a scorer in that role, Wingard has put up good scores in that role for seasons and has struggled to do it consistently, Breust put up big numbers in that role in 2018 and failed to back it up in 2019.