Hi all, somehow I am top 100 and not sure what trading strategy I should be adapting. Normally by this stage am out of overall contention and much more comfortable trading to deal with each league round.
Went Danger to Ridley last week and Sier to JZ. This week I have Fyfe to deal with and no Jordon (also have Phillips & Taranto).
Am I better off holding Fyfe and looking at a Walker type for Phillips & going up on Taranto (Titch etc) and missing Jordon? All the other rookies seem to be sorted. Am wary of using 4 trades for not much gain and am reluctant to trade Fyfe.
Other thing that is in the back of my mind is that I think I may need to get in Gawn sooner than later?
Thanks all - as always everyones advice is appreciated!
Well done on your good start.
I think the only change to your trading strategy should be that you focus on overall points, rather than league wins. I think you can totally ignore PODs, what the leader is doing and so on, until much deeper in the season - just keep making good decisions, and hope the ball bounces your way.
If I understand correctly, of the 4 trades you mention, 2 are already done, so they’re basically irrelevant in my view because they’re already locked in (for better or worse! They look good to me though).
Step 1, in my view, is getting the rookies right before prices move. Jordon looks a must to me (I’m bringing him in, as are a large proportion of non-owners) so that’s one thing I would take as a given unless you have a strongly different view on his JS or role/likely scoring. Any other rookies with very low BEs should also be strongly considered if you don’t happen to have them.
Personally I would not even consider trading someone like Fyfe for a one week concussion, especially if it’s an enforced absence (ie he is playing because he’s not allowed, rather than because he’s not physically able). I would be concerned about his solitary CBA on the weekend, but equally I think it would be quite premature to trade because of that. Overall I think he’s a pretty clear hold for me.
Philips has had one good score and one bad score. Both were mid 80s games in AFL Fantasy scoring, I think his DE may have been very poor this most recent game leading to a poorer SC score. Things like this tend to not recur if they are out of line with a player’s history, so I wouldn’t be too worried about the 56 SC. If his role is as you expected, I think he’s a pretty clear hold for mine.
Taranto I think is fairly similar. You paid 85 for him and he’s averaging 87. No great urgency there, unless there are other sinister signs, or you want/need his cash.
It depends on who your other players are, but I’d look to cut your worst rookie for Jordon if possible (including via DPP), and then consider whether Tex/Impey or the like is desirable enough to warrant using a trade (perhaps consider whether it overall adds at least 150 points across the season - maybe more like 200?), and/or whether there’s someone who is actually hurting you enough that trading them out is a positive to contribute towards that 150/200 etc.
Gawn may be a priority, but it depends on who the alternative is. Something like Taranto to Tex is a downgrade in my view, but it withdraws cash, and hopefully makes a fair bit more of Tex goes on with it - so that type of thing could be a path to Gawn if you have a failing R2 and no real backup options at this stage.
One other factor to potentially consider (secondary, but it can help) is whether your structure gets the right rookies on field each week. I have 5 premium defs plus Clark, leaving Highmore on the bench. I am wondering whether he’s good enough to warrant being on field each week ahead of a mid or forward rookie, so maybe swinging Laird or Clark to the mids and fielding Highmore could be an appealing side benefit of a trade that I would consider for my side.
Only using one trade try is week is perfectly viable if the second one doesn’t add enough value to justify it. This round is used to set yourself up, in my view, but if you’re already set up, no doubt the trade will prove useful at some point 🙂
Best of luck.
