Position 2022: Midfield Discussion

Which premium mids are you currently starting?


  • Total voters
    193
Joined
9 Feb 2015
Messages
9,440
Likes
57,908
AFL Club
West Coast
#42
Jack Steele

2018 - pre bye avg: 81.4, post bye avg: 111.77
2019 - pre bye avg: 94, post bye avg: 96.22
2020 - avg to round 11: 117.3, avg after round 11: 132 (his last 6 games)
2021 - pre bye avg: 118.5, post bye avg 136.77

Is this random coincidence or is he a slow starter and fast finisher?
I recall he got heavily tagged round 1 v GWS by De Boer last year, very quiet first half but then got better as the game went on.

Here are all his scores from last year :-

Screen Shot 2022-01-18 at 1.02.00 pm.png


Lowest score of 91 for the year which happened twice in the first 7 rounds.

Durable/ loves tackling (which will be rewarded more this year) so doesn't rely purely on possessions to keep his score ticking over.

26 years old now so in the prime of his career, I think he is one of the safest midfield premiums you can pick, no real red flags sticking out to me.
 
Joined
15 Oct 2018
Messages
3,912
Likes
12,177
AFL Club
Essendon
#43
I recall he got heavily tagged round 1 v GWS by De Boer last year, very quiet first half but then got better as the game went on.

Here are all his scores from last year :-

View attachment 38399


Lowest score of 91 for the year which happened twice in the first 7 rounds.

Durable/ loves tackling (which will be rewarded more this year) so doesn't rely purely on possessions to keep his score ticking over.

26 years old now so in the prime of his career, I think he is one of the safest midfield premiums you can pick, no real red flags sticking out to me.
I think it's a coincidence and not a trend but it's worth pointing out. I agree you can't go wrong with him, he is a complete freak and the only thing I see holding him back is him having to carry too much of a load and that eventually impacting him negatively.
 
Joined
15 Oct 2018
Messages
3,912
Likes
12,177
AFL Club
Essendon
#44
It’ll be hard for me to not start him at that price!
Nice!

What sort of average does he need and how much money does he need to make do you think to be a successful pick? we obviously get more points on field early in the season in the process but he’s still at an awkward price, 30k cheaper would be ideal
 

Bomber18

Leadership Group
Joined
11 Nov 2012
Messages
27,409
Likes
65,138
AFL Club
Essendon
#45
Nice!

What sort of average does he need and how much money does he need to make do you think to be a successful pick? we obviously get more points on field early in the season in the process but he’s still at an awkward price, 30k cheaper would be ideal
I’d be very happy with a 90-95 avg, I think he’s a chance to breakout to 100+ as well.

With a 90-95, he should make the usual 150k which we hope for, maybe more with a spike game.
 
Joined
2 Mar 2014
Messages
2,837
Likes
5,190
AFL Club
Essendon
#46
Nice!

What sort of average does he need and how much money does he need to make do you think to be a successful pick? we obviously get more points on field early in the season in the process but he’s still at an awkward price, 30k cheaper would be ideal
I’d be very happy with a 90-95 avg, I think he’s a chance to breakout to 100+ as well.

With a 90-95, he should make the usual 150k which we hope for, maybe more with a spike game.
What do you two gents think that Caldwell (260k) will average this season?

Currently have him at M6 in my reworked side as a J.Berry alternative.
 
Joined
21 Jan 2016
Messages
8,418
Likes
31,967
AFL Club
Collingwood
#47
Is Gaff ($496,600) worth considering as an underpriced player that could be a Keeper?
He will be 30 in June, played 21 games and averaged 91 last year (previous years avg.106,107,108)
Any reason he won't return to his higher scoring?
 
Joined
21 Jan 2016
Messages
8,418
Likes
31,967
AFL Club
Collingwood
#49
Caldwell reminds me of Hately, both 21yos, talented players, ex-GWS, but struggle to play AFL games.
Hately is only $188,700, worth monitoring his preseason based on "........the word is he arrived at the Crows (in 2021) with some injury issues and needed a good year to sort out his niggles....."
 

Bomber18

Leadership Group
Joined
11 Nov 2012
Messages
27,409
Likes
65,138
AFL Club
Essendon
#50
What are your thoughts on Parish as a starting pick? From round 6 he averaged 124 including that 10 game streak where he averaged 140!

The only potential downside I see is the amount of depth in the midfield but the same can be said for Macrae / Bont.

Any other reasons why I shouldn't be looking at him?
I’m generally very reluctant picking players (especially mids) after a massive breakout season.

Perhaps we can put in a shameless request to @Rowsus :p to refresh some of his previous analysis but traditionally only very few breakout players (who have had a +20ppg increase to a 102avg+ for the first time) each season can better their average in the next season. Parish averaged 114 last year, he’ll have to do something extremely exceptional to push that to 118+ or so and match the Macrae/Steele types (which doesn’t happen often in SC).

More likely to hover in the 108-110s, which isn’t a failure but probably not worth spending 600k+ for.

The original Rowsus analysis is available here: https://supercoachscores.com/threads/2014-chasing-last-years-points.926/
 
Joined
2 Mar 2014
Messages
2,837
Likes
5,190
AFL Club
Essendon
#51
I must admit, didn’t realise he was that cheap!

I think he can hit 85+ which would justify the price.
I think he can do what Dylan Shiel does. Very similar style to my eye although I think Caldwell tackles better. I've got him pencilled in for 90.

Caldwell reminds me of Hately, both 21yos, talented players, ex-GWS, but struggle to play AFL games.
Hately is only $188,700, worth monitoring his preseason based on "........the word is he arrived at the Crows (in 2021) with some injury issues and needed a good year to sort out his niggles....."
Caldwell struggles to play games in general and has done so since his TAC Cup days. Bombers showed enough faith to bring him in for an Elimination final against the Dogs having not played since Round 2! That to me speaks a lot about how highly we rate him internally.

In saying this, I'll no doubt chicken out & go Horne-Francis or some other better priced rookie, which would probably be the smarter play.
 

Bomber18

Leadership Group
Joined
11 Nov 2012
Messages
27,409
Likes
65,138
AFL Club
Essendon
#52
I think he can do what Dylan Shiel does. Very similar style to my eye although I think Caldwell tackles better. I've got him pencilled in for 90.



Caldwell struggles to play games in general and has done so since his TAC Cup days. Bombers showed enough faith to bring him in for an Elimination final against the Dogs having not played since Round 2! That to me speaks a lot about how highly we rate him internally.

In saying this, I'll no doubt chicken out & go Horne-Francis or some other better priced rookie, which would probably be the smarter play.
Shiel is practicing a lot of goal kicking this season at training by all reports, expect he’ll play a bit more fwd this season.

85-90 does seem achievable for Caldwell I think
 

Blue Dragons

Rising Star Nominee
Joined
13 Feb 2014
Messages
262
Likes
177
AFL Club
Hawthorn
#53
I’m generally very reluctant picking players (especially mids) after a massive breakout season.

Perhaps we can put in a shameless request to @Rowsus :p to refresh some of his previous analysis but traditionally only very few breakout players (who have had a +20ppg increase to a 102avg+ for the first time) each season can better their average in the next season. Parish averaged 114 last year, he’ll have to do something extremely exceptional to push that to 118+ or so and match the Macrae/Steele types (which doesn’t happen often in SC).

More likely to hover in the 108-110s, which isn’t a failure but probably not worth spending 600k+ for.

The original Rowsus analysis is available here: https://supercoachscores.com/threads/2014-chasing-last-years-points.926/
Good call I forgot about that gem. Just needed that reminder to not pick a POD just for the sake of something different!
 
Joined
15 Jan 2018
Messages
1,973
Likes
5,007
AFL Club
Richmond
#54
Shiel is practicing a lot of goal kicking this season at training by all reports, expect he’ll play a bit more fwd this season.

85-90 does seem achievable for Caldwell I think
So does he score better than Berry? Can not have them both leaning more towards Berry because his already done it, averaged in the 90’s
 
Top