Strategy 2024: Round 8 Trades

[Shaunpro1]

Lean right now is probably just to trade Steele, we saw this last year and he never really came good, too much of a warrior to step aside and miss footy, will probably come down to how Sweet scores looped and what options open up for me.

 

[Tamuhawk]

First trade Sharp to Sweet locked in.

2nd trade up in the air.

Campbell to Dale (5 rookies onfield)
Vs
Powell to Green (6 rookies onfield, 6th rookie score would be a Wilson/Windsor loop this week)

Thoughts?

 

[Peter56]

Lean right now is probably just to trade Steele, we saw this last year and he never really came good, too much of a warrior to step aside and miss footy, will probably come down to how Sweet scores looped and what options open up for me.

I am kind of hoping that he gets dropped this week.

 

[Darkie]

First trade Sharp to Sweet locked in.

2nd trade up in the air.

Campbell to Dale (5 rookies onfield)
Vs
Powell to Green (6 rookies onfield, 6th rookie score would be a Wilson/Windsor loop this week)

Thoughts?

This is a tough one. The range of outcomes on Dale and Powell is fairly wide, so it’s unclear which is the better upgrade.

In general I think it’s best to get rookies off the field before luxury type upgrades, so I’ll say the Dale option.

I also wonder if we aren’t jumping to conclusions a bit about Powell sliding down the CBA pecking order. It’s been one game, and he’s never played bulk inside minutes for a sustained period before. It might have been a mini rest, or a way to play through a niggle, or an experiment. Those who supposedly went past him also seemed to perform at a pretty mediocre level.

 

[JY5165]

I am kind of hoping that he gets dropped this week.

hope there's news on how his training was tomorrow. trained away from the main group early in the week

 

[Shannon]

hope there's news on how his training was tomorrow. trained away from the main group early in the week

The news on how Steele looks/trains tomorrow &/or Friday will be a real factor in my decision on him.

Very tempted to flick him to Rowell who looks a top 3 SC mid this year, rain expected in his game v Bris which should really suit him.

With 40 trades/ 5 boosts, the game has changed in terms of holding premiums carrying injuries that are hurting their scoring ability. Especially in the highest scoring area, we saw last year how much Steele struggled carrying an injury - if he keeps playing injured & scores 70s/80s whilst the likes of Rowell/ Serong/ Bont etc pump out 120s every week, it quickly puts you behind the 8ball. BE of 190 this week so set to lose a huge amount of cash if he has another shocker. Big decision to be made on him this week.

 

[Under The Dome]

Makes sense to trade if you can't upgrade into the 115-120 guys.

All comes down to if he gets over it.

Steele 70/80 + new premium 115/120 = 185/200
New premium 115/120 + rookie 60/80 = 175/200

 

[Feerits Elf]

Especially in the highest scoring area, we saw last year how much Steele struggled carrying an injury - if he keeps playing injured & scores 70s/80s whilst the likes of Rowell/ Serong/ Bont etc pump out 120s every week, it quickly puts you behind the 8ball. BE of 190 this week so set to lose a huge amount of cash if he has another shocker. Big decision to be made on him this week.

I think the equation differs somewhat if you shelled out $620k+ for him versus taking him at $530k. I imagine there will be a few who grabbed him in Rd 6 when he was averaging 130 who would be suffering significant buyer's regret and now want to mitigate ASAP by taking a $23k loss and moving to an uninjured premium. Those who spent $530k at least have a week to get some more data before they commit. If he manages to tackle his way to 115 or so he's probably a hold for now.

 

[wolfbunny]

View attachment 72290
✅

Please remove it next year 🙏🤞

Adam Yze said same on Talking footy Wednesday night, suggested that someone like Martin could extend their career, or play a second ruck.
Fingers crossed it gets done for next year!

 

[Woodsey]

If McAuliffe is named are people jumping on? Assume Hoppers injury is for a while and could go back to a midfield role?

 

[ScottishBomber]

Williams
Sharp
Dempsey

To

Dale
Dawson
Garcia

I got Sweet last week - want to watch for one more week then could downgrade Grundy to a rookie for cash before moving Sweet to R2.

Would then be able to boost the forward line or bring in another premo mid.

 

[HimothyTaranto]

If McAuliffe is named are people jumping on? Assume Hoppers injury is for a while and could go back to a midfield role?

It always worries me that a guy is flirting on the edge of the best 22, despite us being so afflicted by injuries.

I think Sonsie will come in over McAuliffe, but even if McAuliffe is named, he will be on the chopping block each week unless he pulls off a very strong game.

 

[OnTopBar]

If McAuliffe is named are people jumping on? Assume Hoppers injury is for a while and could go back to a midfield role?

Prestia could be back next week, Hopper 2 weeks after that.

 

[Dark Horses]

I'm waiting to see if Riley Garcia is on field or not before deciding between he and going early on Darcy Jones (Giants). My gut is that JOnes will be the better of the two.

 

[Peter56]

I am seeing a lot of "with 40 trades and 5 boosts, the game has changed" type comments this year. I am not so certain that it has. I have used 13 trades so far this season and if I was perfectly honest I am not sure that I have improved my team by a great deal. Of those 13 trades 3 were for keepers the rest were all for cash generation. Team value sits at $12.9 which is high at this time of the season.
It will be interesting to see if the conservative traders this year can out run the heavy traders.

 

[Chumpion]

I am seeing a lot of "with 40 trades and 5 boosts, the game has changed" type comments this year. I am not so certain that it has. I have used 13 trades so far this season and if I was perfectly honest I am not sure that I have improved my team by a great deal. Of those 13 trades 3 were for keepers the rest were all for cash generation. Team value sits at $12.9 which is high at this time of the season.
It will be interesting to see if the conservative traders this year can out run the heavy traders.

It will always be a hindsight thing, but a lot will come down to how the injuries land over the second part of the year. A lot of teams are rocketing towards full premium but my not have the trades or bench depth to cover injuries over the second half of the year, so there is a world where those with trades in hand can navigate some tricky 1-2 week injuries and come home strong. But if things in the second half aren't too bad, or there ends up being some great final downgrade rookies that hold their spots and score well, then I think those who were conservative will have given up too much ground to chase down.
FWIW going into this round I've used 15 trades and had 15 keepers (+3 from starting team) plus Powell. I'm leaning towards using 2 this week to upgrade Powell, but may use Darcy instead. So I've potentially got 16-17 keepers from 17 trades. Feels well ahead of where I've been in previous years.

 

[Connoisseur]

Just fall shy ($22k) of D Moore (Hawthorn) over Rogers. That extra 50 odd points and required cash from holding Williams over Dempsey and selecting Dawson over Walsh would have come in nice and handy right about now.

May entertain trading Grundy but is reliant on what Sweet scores. Prefer to continue with the fwd structure and waiting even longer for upgrades as I have no confidence in going Grundy to Moore as I would rather do the move via a rookie and feel that Grundy to a Dunkley/Serong would be the better move. Both have those nice byes.

Dunkley option above. Cadman to Jones could allow Roberts to Petracca via Clohesy in RD9. Depending on what Thomas scores, he could be traded down to a Simpson/Hardeman instead of upgrading Roberts in RD9. Ideally will run Reid and rookies at F4-F6 for a few more rounds.

 

[RoyalBlue]

It will always be a hindsight thing, but a lot will come down to how the injuries land over the second part of the year. A lot of teams are rocketing towards full premium but my not have the trades or bench depth to cover injuries over the second half of the year, so there is a world where those with trades in hand can navigate some tricky 1-2 week injuries and come home strong. But if things in the second half aren't too bad, or there ends up being some great final downgrade rookies that hold their spots and score well, then I think those who were conservative will have given up too much ground to chase down.
FWIW going into this round I've used 15 trades and had 15 keepers (+3 from starting team) plus Powell. I'm leaning towards using 2 this week to upgrade Powell, but may use Darcy instead. So I've potentially got 16-17 keepers from 17 trades. Feels well ahead of where I've been in previous years.

I'm probably one of the more conservative traders here with 30 left before this week's boost and I think you're right. Well back in the peleton currently but starting to make up ground now. If there are injuries around the byes, I'll have the trades necessary to sort them out, which might help.
Each season is different of course, but at the end I'll be looking to adjust my strategy for next year to see how I could get more benefit from the extra trades on offer, as it looks like I may have gone too conservative so far this one.

 

[Hondo]

I am seeing a lot of "with 40 trades and 5 boosts, the game has changed" type comments this year. I am not so certain that it has. I have used 13 trades so far this season and if I was perfectly honest I am not sure that I have improved my team by a great deal. Of those 13 trades 3 were for keepers the rest were all for cash generation. Team value sits at $12.9 which is high at this time of the season.
It will be interesting to see if the conservative traders this year can out run the heavy traders.

Where are you ranked?
Does the 13 trades include this round? Noting that's still a fair few trades used!
My past experience is your rank at about R11 ends up being close to your final rank. Since trades increased the days of running over the top of other teams due to excess trades seem to be over.

 

[Hondo]

I'm probably one of the more conservative traders here with 30 left before this week's boost and I think you're right. Well back in the peleton currently but starting to make up ground now. If there are injuries around the byes, I'll have the trades necessary to sort them out, which might help.
Each season is different of course, but at the end I'll be looking to adjust my strategy for next year to see how I could get more benefit from the extra trades on offer, as it looks like I may have gone too conservative so far this one.

By R12/13 I can see aggressive teams are going to be finalised with 10 trades remaining still to deal with injuries over the last half of the season. It's hard to see how an extra say 6 trades over that period gives that much of an advantage relative to the points lost earlier by upgrading too slowly.