Opinion Questions For Rowsus

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AFL wise: Jade and Brady Rawlings. Jade coached Richmond for 11 games in 2009 after Terry Wallace resigned, and Brady retired at North Melbourne in 2011 after previously playing with his brother in 2006.


(Particularly proud at remembering this one)
you are good
 

KLo30

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Robert (Bob) and Kevin Rose. Bob actually coached Kevin during his time at Collingwood 1958-67. Their other brothers Bill and Ralph also played for Collingwood.
 
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Hi Rowsus,

Could I get your thoughts on Lachie Weller? $464k, in 1% of teams and hasn't dropped below 87 since Round 1.

Also, Toby McLean - opportunity to skyrocket in value with a *potential* role-change at the Dogs?
 
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Hi Rowsus,

Could I get your thoughts on Lachie Weller? $464k, in 1% of teams and hasn't dropped below 87 since Round 1.

Also, Toby McLean - opportunity to skyrocket in value with a *potential* role-change at the Dogs?
Was going to ask the same question.
Do not like unproven players but need to look for cheap Pods as my season has been rubbish.
 

Rowsus

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Hi Rowsus,

Could I get your thoughts on Lachie Weller? $464k, in 1% of teams and hasn't dropped below 87 since Round 1.

Also, Toby McLean - opportunity to skyrocket in value with a *potential* role-change at the Dogs?
Hi Eagling,
his numbers look good, but I wonder if they are sustainable.
His TOG% is running at around 87%. That's really high for an non-tall player (he's only 181cm).
In 5 of those games, his DE has averaged 80%, that too is high.
I haven't watched a lot of GC games this season, but I'm guessing he's taking a lot of kick ins. His R50 numbers are really high, and he's averaging 4 more disposals than possessions in those 7 games. Just an aside, a really good example of the difference between possessions and disposals!
Weller is actually priced pretty close to his average, which means he's not "value" as such, though when you remove that first game, his average goes up by 5, so I guess the potential value is there.

If you are looking at Weller, it might be worth looking at A McGrath ($405,800 B/E 45) as well.
He's around $58k cheaper than Weller, and like Weller is Def/Mid.
He's played 3 games without D Smith this season for his seasons' 3 highest scores: 91, 92, 102.
With Smith gone for the season, and Essendon likely wanting to get some Mid time into McGrath, he too might represent some value.
That 102 was also without Shiel, so it is possible AMcG might only be a low 90's prospect with Shiel back. With Weller priced at 91, and AMcG priced at 80 it feels like AMcG is more likely to return more points/dollar than Weller.
AMcG is currently in 11% of teams, but I think a very large chunk of those might be ghostships now.

Toby McLean I wouldn't touch with a 10ft pole. He seems to be the last in line for Mid time, and is really struggling as a pressure Fwd. Wallis will be back very very soon, and I'm guessing there is another player in front of McLean in the rotations,
 
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Hi Eagling,
his numbers look good, but I wonder if they are sustainable.
His TOG% is running at around 87%. That's really high for an non-tall player (he's only 181cm).
In 5 of those games, his DE has averaged 80%, that too is high.
I haven't watched a lot of GC games this season, but I'm guessing he's taking a lot of kick ins. His R50 numbers are really high, and he's averaging 4 more disposals than possessions in those 7 games. Just an aside, a really good example of the difference between possessions and disposals!
Weller is actually priced pretty close to his average, which means he's not "value" as such, though when you remove that first game, his average goes up by 5, so I guess the potential value is there.

If you are looking at Weller, it might be worth looking at A McGrath ($405,800 B/E 45) as well.
He's around $58k cheaper than Weller, and like Weller is Def/Mid.
He's played 3 games without D Smith this season for his seasons' 3 highest scores: 91, 92, 102.
With Smith gone for the season, and Essendon likely wanting to get some Mid time into McGrath, he too might represent some value.
That 102 was also without Shiel, so it is possible AMcG might only be a low 90's prospect with Shiel back. With Weller priced at 91, and AMcG priced at 80 it feels like AMcG is more likely to return more points/dollar than Weller.
AMcG is currently in 11% of teams, but I think a very large chunk of those might be ghostships now.

Toby McLean I wouldn't touch with a 10ft pole. He seems to be the last in line for Mid time, and is really struggling as a pressure Fwd. Wallis will be back very very soon, and I'm guessing there is another player in front of McLean in the rotations,
Cheers for the help, Rowsus.

Looking at that I might actually grab McGrath. 'Officially' it will be a side-swap from Darling but it will save a doughnut no matter what, generate $30k and hopefully bring in a player with a more consistent end of the season.

The general consensus seems to be to trade Darling over Hore but as a Melbourne man, do you think Hore is a potential D6/D7 keeper with the way he is scoring?
 

Rowsus

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Cheers for the help, Rowsus.

Looking at that I might actually grab McGrath. 'Officially' it will be a side-swap from Darling but it will save a doughnut no matter what, generate $30k and hopefully bring in a player with a more consistent end of the season.

The general consensus seems to be to trade Darling over Hore but as a Melbourne man, do you think Hore is a potential D6/D7 keeper with the way he is scoring?
I'll be keeping Hore, with the idea of him being my D6.
That is more through necessity than design, and if good sides can afford it, they too should try and keep him as a D7.
I think he will stay in that 85-90 area, which is probably a bit low, but I'm in a beggars can't be choosers situation this season.
 
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Hey Rows,

I still have Whitfield as I am unsure what to do with him. Yes.. another injury.
Two of my targets are Neale and Grundy over the next few weeks so need to generate more cash.
Have Balta, Parker, Baker, stocker and Moore also to off load. With a disappointing backline of only Lloyd, BSmith, Shepherd (don’t ask), WHITFIELD, Duursma, Andrews. Do I downgrade and bring back Williams, Grab a Stewart or Ryan or wait for Hurn to drop?
Was thinking

Whitfield to Stewart
Stocker to Bewley
Balta to Daniel

Would still leave $206k to assist ROB to Grundy before trying to get Neale somehow. Maybe via Clarke (Ess) or Naish if on bubble.
 

Rowsus

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Hey Rows,

I still have Whitfield as I am unsure what to do with him. Yes.. another injury.
Two of my targets are Neale and Grundy over the next few weeks so need to generate more cash.
Have Balta, Parker, Baker, stocker and Moore also to off load. With a disappointing backline of only Lloyd, BSmith, Shepherd (don’t ask), WHITFIELD, Duursma, Andrews. Do I downgrade and bring back Williams, Grab a Stewart or Ryan or wait for Hurn to drop?
Was thinking

Whitfield to Stewart
Stocker to Bewley
Balta to Daniel

Would still leave $206k to assist ROB to Grundy before trying to get Neale somehow. Maybe via Clarke (Ess) or Naish if on bubble.
Hey Slammer,
I think it's a line ball. If you were going to get full value from trading Whit out, you should have done it last week.
Given you are short of trades, like me, and didn't trade him last week, I think holding him now is the better long term option.
 
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Hi Rowsus.

Do you think Angus Brayshaw is a good trade-in option for M8? I've heard that he'd been playing outside the midfield but has been put back into the middle in the last couple of games.
 
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Heya Rows!

Hope you're well!

I'm trying to figure who best to bring in for the run home so I can finalise my best 22! Would love your opinion on the some of the following players I'm thinking of! (currently have 10 trades left)

Defense: Lloyd, Whitfield, Laird, Hore, Rozee, Duursma (Answerth, Gardner)

Probably the area where I need to upgrade the most. Will bring Hurn in over the coming weeks once (hopefully) his BE drops.
Who would you select out of Tom Stewart, Luke Ryan and Sicily? I don't mind leaving Hore as D6.


Mids: Neale, Cripps, Merrett, Macrae, Martin, Fyfe, Walsh, O.Baker, (D.Clarke, Hately, Stocker)

For the last two on field spots I'm considering two out of the following: C.Oliver, R.Sloane, A.Gaff & Jelly.
Gut currently says Gaff and Jelly but not sure whether I'll be able to afford Jelly hence I might need to look at one of the others. What would you do?!

Rucks are Gawndy. Not going to trade out ROB right now so hopefully he generates a bit more cash.

Fwds: Danger, Telly, Dunkley, Boak, Billings, J.Cameron (R.Young, Setterfield)

Don't really plan on changing anything here unless it's injuries. Don't have the luxury of extra trades and cash available!!

Thanks bud!
 
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Hi Rowsus, how many trades do you think is optimal to have banked for the last 9 rounds vs upgrading to better premos?

Currently have 5 left post trades this week, with Hore, Rocky and JCam as D6/M6/F6. Cashing in Duursma should let me upgrade at least 2 of those to top end premos but leaves me with 1-2 trades left.

Might be a difficult question to answer but would appreciate the insight anyway!
 
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Hi Rowsus, how many trades do you think is optimal to have banked for the last 9 rounds vs upgrading to better premos?

Currently have 5 left post trades this week, with Hore, Rocky and JCam as D6/M6/F6. Cashing in Duursma should let me upgrade at least 2 of those to top end premos but leaves me with 1-2 trades left.

Might be a difficult question to answer but would appreciate the insight anyway!
Hey mate, I've always aimed to have 5-6 trades up my sleeve for LTIs etc once my team is complete, I think it would be the same for most. It might be best to keep those blokes and have some trades up your sleeve. A few donuts toward the end of the season makes the potential 5-10pt upgrade meaningless.

Eg:

Next week:

Duursma down and Hore (avg 85ish?) up to a 95avg defender gets you 10/week from rd 15-23 (9 weeks) = +90 points theoretically (45pts per trade).
It also costs you Duursma as bench cover D/M, meaning you bring in a risky cover option like Naish/Gardner?
If a premo misses you're forced to cover with a bench player (PIT60?) or worse - cop a donut each time.

I'm sure Rowsus can support his argument alot better, my point though is that at this stage of the year I'd value my trades a lot higher than 45 points per trade, especially when it means I can sideways trade a LTI or suspension or have the luxury of swapping premos to suit certain opponents later in the year.
 
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Hi Rowsus

Hope everything is going well for you, time for my regular season email asking if there is anything you can suggest to rescue my "train wreck" of a season apart from hitting the delete button :)

Due to a variety of reasons I am sitting 77,391 and barely treading water.

D: STEWART, LAIRD, RICH, Shaw, Crips, Milera (Answerth, Gardner)

M: CRIPPS, TARANTO , CONIGLIO, PENDLEBURY , ZORKO, ROCKLIFF, Walsh, Duursma (Setterfield , Scott, Hayden)

R: GOLDSTEIN, Westhoff (Bines)

F: KELLY, DANGERFIELD, DANIEL. HEENEY, Gray, Darling (Burgess, Young)

9 Trades left
Bank: $ 193,100.00

This week I was planning :-

Burgess - > Clarke (via Setterfield)
Duursma - > Logue (via Answerth)
Walsh - > Brayshaw

happy to keep Rockliff

the following week I can go Answerth - > Grundy moving R Gray in the mids or was thinking Answerth to McEvoy, which would then give me enough money to eventually upgrade Setterfield to a approx $ 500 k mid (or if I take Grundy take a punt on Hanners at M8)

leaving 4 trades, no money and relying on Logue at D7, Clarke M8 , Westhoff

If you have time any ideas/suggestions would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks for your time
 

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This week I was planning :-

Burgess - > Clarke (via Setterfield)
Duursma - > Logue (via Answerth)
Walsh - > Brayshaw
You have a max of 15 available prior to trades so why are you considering trading out one of your more reliable Rookie scorer, especially when you desperately needs his on-field points for this round...?
 

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@Herbie66

Before Rowan gets to your team, I figured I would chime in to dissect it as well. There's ALWAYS a reason why we allow our team to fall into such a hole midway through a season, we've all done it before myself included. What's important now is for you to acknowledge those reasons (I'm confident that you know them) and apply those learning to make you a better SC coach for next year and beyond.

Most teams are without one of Grundy or Gawn, however, you find yourself without either at Round 14. I feel that it will cause to much of a compromise to your completed team and trade left, IF you were to target just one of them, Grundy being the most likely due to his impending price drop.

I've come up with the following proposal to try and get you to a completed team, as best as practical allowing for adequate bench coverage and trades left to finish off the season. In summary, trades will involve the following:

OUTs: Walsh, Setterfield, Burgess, Answerth, Duursma
INs: Brayshaw, Sidebottom, McEvoy, Logue, Clarke

1560838875416.png

Alternatively, if you really want GRUNDY, then you could hold off the McEvoy trade and wait for Grundy to drop in price to narrow the current gap. My projection has Grundy price at $594,200 with a BE of 130 at the start of Round 17 with him scoring 110 over his next 3 games. You still need to find a downgrade somewhere in order to attain Grundy at Rd17 which means another trade, but this is less critical then as we're only 6 rounds away from the end of the season.

Hope this helps...and please REFRAIN from starting 'futuristic' threads in the future as it's not helpful for anyone.
 
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You have a max of 15 available prior to trades so why are you considering trading out one of your more reliable Rookie scorer, especially when you desperately needs his on-field points for this round...?
are you spying on my team ? ? I am no threat.

The reason being I don't think he will score that well against Geelong and will take a price hit , I guess any score is better than nothing.

If Answerth is dropped (think Bailey is due back) , I will trade him instead and hope that his price rises more than Duursma drops.

I have 12 with the Bye + Bines & Rocky.

Doubt Gardner or Young will play either.
 
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@Herbie66

Before Rowan gets to your team, I figured I would chime in to dissect it as well. There's ALWAYS a reason why we allow our team to fall into such a hole midway through a season, we've all done it before myself included. What's important now is for you to acknowledge those reasons (I'm confident that you know them) and apply those learning to make you a better SC coach for next year and beyond.

Most teams are without one of Grundy or Gawn, however, you find yourself without either at Round 14. I feel that it will cause to much of a compromise to your completed team and trade left, IF you were to target just one of them, Grundy being the most likely due to his impending price drop.

I've come up with the following proposal to try and get you to a completed team, as best as practical allowing for adequate bench coverage and trades left to finish off the season. In summary, trades will involve the following:

OUTs: Walsh, Setterfield, Burgess, Answerth, Duursma
INs: Brayshaw, Sidebottom, McEvoy, Logue, Clarke

View attachment 9589

Alternatively, if you really want GRUNDY, then you could hold off the McEvoy trade and wait for Grundy to drop in price to narrow the current gap. My projection has Grundy price at $594,200 with a BE of 130 at the start of Round 17 with him scoring 110 over his next 3 games. You still need to find a downgrade somewhere in order to attain Grundy at Rd17 which means another trade, but this is less critical then as we're only 6 rounds away from the end of the season.

Hope this helps...and please REFRAIN from starting 'futuristic' threads in the future as it's not helpful for anyone.
Hi Thanh

Thank you for this, greatly appreciated.

4 out of the 5 outs and 4 of the 5 ins are the same as what is going through my thought processes.

I do like McEvoy and if he scores reasonably well Friday night I will be happy to take him and not worry about Grundy.

I think if I did get Grundy my compromised M8 trade would be Hanneberry.

Sidey I don't mind or MCrouch around similar pricing (would you wait on this until next week when Sloane & Treloar could also be viable?)

I don't think I can do Setterfield to a mid , because I have to swap him F when I trade Burgess to Clarke , so that may need to wait , nope I have Hayden as F/M too.

I only have myself to blame for where my team sits , info is provided , it is up to me to dissect and use it and at the end of the day I select my team (very poorly this season I admit)

as for futuristic threads ??? who me ? The only one I post are about cricket tours and the Big Bash and the other one today which would have been very popular but dissapointed very quickly.....my apologies.

Thanks for your time
 
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