Psst! Do you have a secret player no one has spoken about?
- Thread starter IDIG
- Start date
- Joined
- 23 Mar 2012
- Messages
- 19,855
- Likes
- 929
- AFL Club
- Carlton
I have today kind of stumbled over another possible smoky I may consider, a lowish midpricer I may use as a bit of a pinch hitter. Only about a 25% chance I will pick him, really depends on how I end up rating the quality of the rookies after the Nab Cup as to whether I will be brave enough to give this guy a go.
However it does scare me that he has never scored 100 before!
However it does scare me that he has never scored 100 before!
- Joined
- 21 May 2012
- Messages
- 22,312
- Likes
- 31,158
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
I can see after round 2 or 3 quite a few 'secret players' being revealed after they start the season with a BANG!!
If/once that happens the challenge is working out the right time to trade them out before it all goes wrong or if they will sustain it enough to go the whole season.
If/once that happens the challenge is working out the right time to trade them out before it all goes wrong or if they will sustain it enough to go the whole season.
I don't often like to take speculative picks but I figure with the extra trades I may give them a go and if I get it wrong well I will just trade them after 2 weeks to whichever rookie cash cow I happened to miss out on.
I'm more interested in the reason behind you picking him, than who it is. Interesting to see how you came up with him, especially as he's never cracked the ton.
- I took out a couple of games in which the kid was subbed/played as a tagger (which I don't think he will do again) and his average lifted by 17ppg.
- In about a third of his games he has scored in the 75 to 99 point range, so he has the potential to do a bit better score wise than some rookies. And I would be just looking for those type of scores at the start of the season before I upgrade him to a fallen premium.
- He is a naturally talented player so I expect natural improvement.
- He should spend more minutes in the midfield this year rather than being mainly stuck up at one end of the ground, and the team he plays for has an opening for an extra midfield rotation.
- Reports are that he has been tearing up the track preseason
Of course the doubts are will he increase his output enough to be worthwhile picking and would he get consistently better scores at the start of the season?
And secondly have I mistakenly gone 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 8 !!
- Joined
- 23 Mar 2012
- Messages
- 19,855
- Likes
- 929
- AFL Club
- Carlton
A combination of reasons, none of which on their own could convince me but putting them together has made me think about it. They are:
- I took out a couple of games in which the kid was subbed/played as a tagger (which I don't think he will do again) and his average lifted by 17ppg.
- In about a third of his games he has scored in the 75 to 99 point range, so he has the potential to do a bit better score wise than some rookies. And I would be just looking for those type of scores at the start of the season before I upgrade him to a fallen premium.
- He is a naturally talented player so I expect natural improvement.
- He should spend more minutes in the midfield this year rather than being mainly stuck up at one end of the ground, and the team he plays for has an opening for an extra midfield rotation.
- Reports are that he has been tearing up the track preseason
Of course the doubts are will he increase his output enough to be worthwhile picking and would he get consistently better scores at the start of the season?
And secondly have I mistakenly gone 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 8 !!
- I took out a couple of games in which the kid was subbed/played as a tagger (which I don't think he will do again) and his average lifted by 17ppg.
- In about a third of his games he has scored in the 75 to 99 point range, so he has the potential to do a bit better score wise than some rookies. And I would be just looking for those type of scores at the start of the season before I upgrade him to a fallen premium.
- He is a naturally talented player so I expect natural improvement.
- He should spend more minutes in the midfield this year rather than being mainly stuck up at one end of the ground, and the team he plays for has an opening for an extra midfield rotation.
- Reports are that he has been tearing up the track preseason
Of course the doubts are will he increase his output enough to be worthwhile picking and would he get consistently better scores at the start of the season?
And secondly have I mistakenly gone 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 8 !!
I won't mention whom
- Joined
- 23 Mar 2012
- Messages
- 19,855
- Likes
- 929
- AFL Club
- Carlton
it's easier to deal with taking a risk and failing than it is to ignore and miss a breakout
Kinda wishing I didn’t say anything as I didn’t really want to make this a guessing game.
But I do think that this year I think is a year where we can take a bit more of a risk with speculative picks considering we have extra trades, emergency loophole etc.
One should keep an eye on all of the Dees players, you just never know what Neeld is going to do which may create an opportunity for some.
Would be hard I would think for a Roos rookie or breakout candidate to start the year well with the Pies, Cats, Swans and Hawks in the first 5 rounds. I was thinking about Atley for a while but have gone a bit cold on him.
Plays the run with role a little bit too often for my liking.
I suppose there is no real secret players out there as everyone knows who the 700 odd players that are available, and anyone that shows the slightest bit promise will be scrutinised.
But I do think that this year I think is a year where we can take a bit more of a risk with speculative picks considering we have extra trades, emergency loophole etc.
Sounds like a Dee player
I won't mention whom
I won't mention whom
Would be hard I would think for a Roos rookie or breakout candidate to start the year well with the Pies, Cats, Swans and Hawks in the first 5 rounds. I was thinking about Atley for a while but have gone a bit cold on him.
Plays the run with role a little bit too often for my liking.
I suppose there is no real secret players out there as everyone knows who the 700 odd players that are available, and anyone that shows the slightest bit promise will be scrutinised.